000
AGXX40 KNHC 091852
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EST TUE FEB 09 2010

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W

GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT FROM A 1008 MB LOW PRES JUST W OF 
TAMPA BAY TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WILL MOVE E OF THE THE AREA 
LATER TONIGHT. STRONG NLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WITH WINDS UP 
TO 30 KT. THE WINDS DECREASE SOME WED NIGHT. A TROUGH DEVELOPS 
ALONG THE COAST OF TEXAS EXTENDING S TOWARD TAMPICO MEXICO LATE 
WED. GFS DEVELOPS A LOW PRES ALONG THE TROUGH THU NIGHT AND 
MOVES THE LOW THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA SAT. THE GFS HAS 
BACKED OFF ON THE GALE FORCE WINDS AND THE ENSEMBLE SHOWS NO 
PROBABILITY TO 34 KT WINDS IN THE AREA. SO WILL CONTINUE WITH 
WINDS TO 30 KT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE AREA 
WITH THE LOW AND STRONG NLY WINDS SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND 
THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE E OF THE AREA SAT. STRONG NE 
WINDS OVER THE E GULF SAT THE LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA 
SUN.

HIGH PRES OVER THE ATLC ZONE WILL MOVE E AS A COLD FRONT MOVES 
OFF THE SE U.S. COAST TONIGHT. SLY WINDS INCREASING OVER THE NW 
PORTION OF THE AREA AND WILL BE TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT. WINDS 
ALSO INCREASE TO GALE FORCE BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL 
EXTEND FROM 31N76W TO 25N80W TONIGHT AND FROM 31N69W TO CENTRAL 
CUBA WED AND E OF THE AREA THU. WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT GALE 
FORCE OVER THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH THU THEN BELOW 
GALE FORCE THU NIGHT. LARGE SWELL TO OVER 20 FT WILL MOVE INTO 
THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA STARTING WED NIGHT THEN SLOWLY 
SUBSIDE FRI AND SAT. LOTS OF FORECAST UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES FOR 
LATE FRI. AS STATED ABOVE THE GFS MOVES THE LOW FROM THE GULF OF 
MEXICO TOWARD STRAITS OF FLORIDA WITH THE EUROPEAN MODEL BEING A 
A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE N AS IT MOVES INTO THE ATLC WITH 
POSSIBLE GALE FORCE WINDS. WILL CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT 
FORECAST WORDING.

WEAK FRONT FROM 22N59W TO 20N55W WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT.
NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL THIS EVENING 
AND EXTEND FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO GULF OF HONDURAS WED AND BECOME 
DIFFUSE THU. NLY WINDS WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT NW OF THE FRONT.
NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND FRI 
EVENING AND EXTEND FROM W CUBA TO HONDURAS SAT AND DISSIPATE 
SUN.    
 
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
.AMZ080...GALE WARNING N OF 28N EITHER SIDE OF FRONT.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE. 

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
FORECASTER DGS