000 AGXX40 KNHC 090717 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 AM EST TUE FEB 09 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... CDFNT OVER THE NW WATERS ATTM WILL REACH PSN FROM W FL PANHANDLE TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE THIS MORNING AND RACE E PASSING THROUGH FL STRAITS TONIGHT. POST FRONTAL NLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TO A MAX OF 30 KT TODAY OVER THE W GULF AND CONTINUE OVER THE NE GULF TILL ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL LEAVE A REMNANT TROUGH ALONG THE SW GULF COAST. THIS TROUGH WILL PERSIST WED AND DEEPEN AND EXPAND N TO ALONG THE S TX COAST THROUGH THU. GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE MOST AGGRESSIVE SUGGESTING LOW PRES DEVELOPMENT NEAR 27N97W THU AND MOVES THE LOW E ACROSS SOUTHERN FL FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT. REGARDLESS OF STRENGTH AND PSN OF LOW AND IS SUBSEQUENT TRACK IT WILL TRAIL A COOL FRONT TO ITS S. SLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO AT LEAST 25 KT AHEAD OF LOW AND NLY WINDS IN ITS WAKE WILL INCREASE TO AT LEAST 30 KT....WITH MORE AGGRESSIVE GUIDANCE SUGGESTING MINIMAL GALE. WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH QUICKLY BECOMING SLY OVER THE NW GULF SAT NIGHT. SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W... BROAD FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 25N55W TO HAITI WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SE REACHING ALONG 18.5N E OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE BEFORE BEGINNING TO LIFT N AS A WEAK WARM FRONT EARLY WED AND THU. NEXT CDFNT OFF GA COAST AROUND SUNSET TODAY ACCOMPANIED BY MINIMAL GALE WINDS N OF 29N BOTH SIDES OF FRONT TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL RACE E EVEN FASTER THAT PREVIOUSLY SUGGESTED TO PSN FROM BERMUDA TO HISPANIOLA AROUND SUNSET WED FINALLY LOSING ITS PUSH FROM 20N55W TO HISPANIOLA FRI MORNING. FORECAST UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES FOR LATE FRI...BUT GENERALLY EXPECT LOW PRES TO MOVE FROM GULF OF MEXICO ACROSS SOUTHERN FL THEN TURNING NE AND PASSING WELL S OF BERMUDA SAT NIGHT. LIKELY TO BE CONVECTIVE NEAR LOW AND ALONG THE ASSOCIATED COOL FRONT THAT IT WILL DRAG ACROSS BAHAMAS SAT. FOR NOW EXPECTING 20 TO 30 KT WINDS TO START LATE FRI NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SAT NIGHT. MARINERS STAY TUNED TO SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS AS THERE WILL CERTAINLY BE PLENTY OF ADJUSTMENTS. CARIBBEAN... WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH STILL EVIDENT AND DRIFTING NW FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO BORDER OF HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA ATTM. EXPECT THESE REMNANT CLOUDS TO MOVE BACK N OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WATERS TODAY. NEXT CDFNT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND SUNSET TODAY AND EXPECTED TO HANG UP FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO EASTERN GULF OF HONDURAS WED NIGHT AND THU WITH REMNANTS DRIFTING NW OVER GULF OF HONDURAS THU AND THE NW WATERS THU NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF NEXT CDFNT YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND SUNSET FRI LOSING IDENTITY SAT. WARNINGS... ATLC... .AMZ080...GALE WARNING N OF 29N EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON