000 AGXX40 KNHC 070706 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 210 AM EST SUN FEB 07 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... A RIDGE EXTENDING SSE FROM TX TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL SHIFT E AND BECOME ORIENTATED FROM NW FL TO NE MEXICO MON THEN SHIFT FURTHER E ON TUE. THIS WILL ALLOW THE NEXT CDFNT TO MOVE OFF THE TX COAST MON NIGHT RACING E PASSING THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FL TUE NIGHT...BUT LEAVING SOME REMNANTS ALONG THE SW GULF COAST EXPANDING N TO S TX THROUGH WED NIGHT. THESE REMNANTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THU NIGHT. AS USUAL THE GFS SUGGESTS LOW PRES DEVELOPMENT NEAR 26N96W THU AND MOVES THE LOW NE THROUGH FRI TRAILING A FRONTAL TROUGH TO ITS S. WILL GO WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND A RESULTANT NE TO SE WIND SHIFT ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS. THE TROUGH SHIFTS E ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF THU NIGHT AND FRI. EXPECT CAA OVER THE SW GULF TO PRODUCE MAX OF 30 KT AND 12 FT SEAS TUE. SW N ATLC AND TROPICAL ATLC W OF 55W... CDFNT EXTENDING FROM 31N65W TO NE CUBA WILL REACH FROM 28N55W TO HISPANIOLA AT SUNSET TODAY AND FROM 27N55W TO 22N67W THEN DIFFUSE TO HISPANIOLA TONIGHT. THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF FRONT WILL PERSIST ALONG LINE 25N55W TO THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA INTO TUE...THEN WHATEVER REMAINS WILL MOVE N AS A WEAK WARM FRONT WED AND THU. NEXT CDFNT OFF GA COAST LATE TUE NIGHT RACING TO PSN FROM BERMUDA TO SE WINDWARD PASSAGE LATE WED NIGHT...AND FROM 24N55W TO MONA PASSAGE LATE THU NIGHT. GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED WED INTO THU N OF 30N JUST BEHIND FRONT. NLY SWELLS RESULTING IN SEAS 8 TO 14 FT ATLC WATERS NE OF BAHAMAS WILL SUBSIDE TO 8 FT BETWEEN 65W AND 55W TUE. NEXT ROUND OF NLY SWELLS IN WAKE OF STRONG MID WEEK CDFNT WILL DRIVE SEAS TO 12 FT TO THE NE BAHAMAS EARLY THU. SEAS TO 10 FT WILL REACH SE BAHAMAS AND NE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES AROUND SUNRISE FRI. CARIBBEAN... CDFNT EXTENDING FROM SE CUBA TO HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA BORDER WILL MOVE SE TO LINE FROM HISPANIOLA TO SE NICARAGUA MON THEN MEANDER AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE. SOME REMNANT CLOUDS MAY PERSIST LONG ENOUGH TO MOVE BACK N OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN WATERS AS SLY FLOW SETS UP TUE. NEXT CDFNT YUCATAN CHANNEL TUE NIGHT...BUT DOES NOT SEEM AS STRONG THIS FAR S AND WILL LIKELY HANG UP FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO GULF OF HONDURAS THU AND FRI. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. GALE WARNING N OF 28N BETWEEN 65W AND 55W TODAY... .AMZ080...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 30N E OF 73W WED INTO THU... CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER NELSON