000 AGXX40 KNHC 050710 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 210 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2010 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... SURGE OF COLD AIR AND RESULTING WIND SURGE HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. LATEST ASCAT PASS INDICATES STRONG TO NEAR GALE BREEZE ACROSS THE SW GULF...WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAILING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. SURFACE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TROUGH WED AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SE US BEHIND THE COLD SURGE. SE RETURN FLOW ACROSS THE W GULF WILL INCREASE WED NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT WHICH MOVES OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY THU MORNING. A SURGE OF NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE 30 TO 35 KT RANGE OVER THE GULF W OF 94W. THE WIND SURGE WILL BUILD SEAS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WITH NOAA WAVE WATCH III GUIDANCE INDICATING THAT SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 OR 16 FT OVER THE SW GULF LATE FRI. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT E OF THE GULF WATERS SAT MORNING WITH FRESH TO STRONG N BREEZE REMAINING ACROSS THE E GULF...AND STRONG TO NEAR GALE BREEZE ACROSS THE W GULF SAT. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM W HAITI TO NICARAGUA. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR NW PART OF THE CARIBBEAN EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO BELIZE. RECENT ASCAT PASS INDICATES FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT E AND MERGE WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT WHILE REACHING FROM W HAITI TO PANAMA BY WED. TRADEWINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE E AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THIS WEEK AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE SW N ATLANTIC IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD SURGE AFFECTING THE AREA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC S OF 15N WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC. LONG PERIOD NW SWELLS ARE PROPAGATING S ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC. THESE SWELLS WILL MIX WITH NE SWELL GENERATED FROM TRADEWIND FLOW IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WATERS. THE NW SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH WED BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF LONG PERIOD SWELL PROPAGATES INTO THE AREA ON WED NIGHT. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 22N65W TO HISPANIOLA. A SURGE OF COLD AIR HAS SHIFTED OFF THE E COAST OF THE US...WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM 31N66W TO CENTRAL CUBA. FROM THE LATEST ASCAT PASS...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAILS IN THE WAKE OF THIS SURGE OF COLD AIR. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SHIFT E THROUGH WED NIGHT WHERE IT WILL STALL FROM 22N65W TO W HAITI. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND THE COLD SURGE ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL THU NIGHT BEFORE SHIFTING E AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE SE COAST OF THE US. THIS COLD FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N75W TO S FLORIDA FRI NIGHT AND 31N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA SAT. THIS FRONT WILL PRODUCE STRONG W TO NW WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT AND BUILDING SEAS TO AROUND 10 FT BY SAT NIGHT. WARNINGS... ATLC... .GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 27N BETWEEN 55W AND 60W TONIGHT. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED GMZ080-GMZ082-GMZ084 THU. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORECASTER AL