000 AGXX40 KNHC 220640 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 140 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W UPPER LEVELS... DEEP LAYER RIDGE EXTENDS OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE LESSER ANTILLES AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE ATLANTIC AREA. MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLIES ARE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN PART OF THE ATLANTIC AREA. A SHORTWAVE IS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO COAST AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES TODAY AND BE ABSORBED BY THE WESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF THE AREA. THE RIDGE WILL CONTRACT SOME WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A STRONG MIDDLE LATITUDE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES. BY LATE THURSDAY RIDGE WILL BE SOUTH OF ABOUT 22N AND MODERATE WESTERLIES WILL BE NORTH OF 22N WITH STRONG WESTERLIES OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO AND NORTH FLORIDA. SURFACE... SHORTWAVE OVER NORTH GULF OF MEXICO COAST HAS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST. LOW IS WEAKENING AND MOVING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATED WHERE IT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE TONIGHT. WEAK ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE OVER THE EASTERN GULF TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. NEXT COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG MIDDLE LATITUDE TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST TUESDAY AND REACH FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO WESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE MIDDAY WEDNESDAY AND CENTRAL FLORIDA TO YUCATAN PENINSULA MIDDAY THURSDAY. WINDS WILL BE 20 TO 25 KTS BEHIND THE FRONT AND UP TO 30 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF WEST OF THIS FRONT. TRADES OF 20 KNOTS OR MORE ARE CONFINED TO SOUTH OF 17N EAST OF 80W THROUGH TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE UP TO 25 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE WINDS WILL THEN WEAKEN SOME WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS THE ABOVE MENTIONED FRONTAL TROUGH WEAKENS THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. OTHERWISE WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 20 KT. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. $$ FORECASTER LL