000 AGXX40 KNHC 121935 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 235 PM EST THU NOV 12 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W GULF OF MEXICO... LATEST ASCAT PASS INDICATES WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF...AND ARE NOW LIGHT AND VARIABLE ACROSS THE NW PART WITH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KT IN THE FAR SW PORTION. AN EARLY MORNING JASON ALTIMETER PASS INDICATED SEAS OF 8 TO 9 FEET LINGERING ACROSS THE SW GULF. SEAS HAVE BEEN SUBSIDING SINCE THIS MORNING...AND THE LATEST OBSERVATION FROM BUOY 42055 INDICATES SEAS OF 7 FT. THE ASCAT PASS AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT CONTINUES ACROSS THE MIDDLE AND EASTERN GULF. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE OVER THE MIDDLE AND EASTERN GULF AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SE RETURN FLOW WILL PREVAIL MUCH OF THE PERIOD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF...AND KEEP SE TO S WINDS IN THE 15 TO 20 KT RANGE BEFORE A COLD FRONT EXITS THE TEXAS COAST ON MON. SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W... CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SURFACE LOW LOCATED NEAR 30N64W THIS MORNING HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE AREA TO NEAR 32N64W. LATEST ASCAT PASS INDICATES S TO SW WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT CONTINUES N OF 23N ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N73W TO 22N77W. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY MAKE SLIGHT EASTWARD PROGRESS BEFORE STALLING AND DISSIPATING THIS WEEKEND. LATEST SCATTEROMETER AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE FRONT. W TO NW WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF IDA...MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA. LONG PERIOD SWELLS OF 11 TO 13 FT GENERATED FROM THIS LOW WILL AFFECT THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA PEAKING LATE SAT...AND SLOWLY SUBSIDING SUN THROUGH TUE. CARIBBEAN SEA... COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN FROM 21N78W TO COSTA RICA. LATEST ASCAT PASS INDICATES NW WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND THE FRONT WITH BUOY 42056 INDICATING 6 FT SEAS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EASTERLY TRADEWINDS OF 10 TO 15 KT PREVAILS. THE FRONT WILL ONLY MAKE SLIGHTLY MORE EASTWARD PROGRESS OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS BEFORE STALLING AND DISSIPATING. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE AS THE FRONT STALL AND DISSIPATES. AFTERWORDS...10 TO 15 KT TRADES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A SMALL AREA OF 15 TO 20 KT WINDS OFF THE COAST OF VENEZUELA. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. $$ FORECASTER AL