000 AGXX40 KNHC 020658 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 AM EST MON NOV 02 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE WITH EARLY MORNING QUIKSCAT PASS KEEPING WINDS IN THE 25-30 KT RANGE IN THE FAR SW GULF. A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS DRAPED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF. THIS FRONT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE LATER TODAY AS HIGH PRES BUILDS DOWN FROM THE N. A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE GULF THROUGH THE WEEK WITH HIGH PRES OVER THE U.S. GULF COAST STATES AND LOW PRES TO THE S OVER THE EPAC AND A PROLONGED PERIOD OF NE 20-25 KT WINDS APPEARS LIKELY OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF. GFS PROGS GALE CONDITIONS IN THE FAR SW GULF ON WED INTO FRI WITH A SIMILAR SETUP TO THE PREVIOUS GALE EVENT. THIS PATTERN PERSISTS INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH SHIFTS ONLY SLIGHTLY TO OVER THE SE U.S. STATES. SW N ATLC S OF 31N AND W OF 55W... A COLD FRONT IS IN PLACE OVER THE NW WATERS FROM 31N78W TO 28N80W. THIS FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY AND LESS DEFINED LATER THIS MORNING. A LARGE AREA OF NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE THROUGH MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH HEIGHTS OF 8 TO 10 FT AND PERIODS OF 11 TO 12 SECONDS. THIS SWELL WILL DECAY THROUGH TUE SUBSIDING TO BELOW 8 FT BY EARLY TUE NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRES WILL BE CENTERED NEAR 30/31N EARLY THIS WEEK WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PROJECTED TO SHIFT TO NEAR 31N69W TO 35N78W BY TUE NIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. A BRIEF PERIOD OF NE 20 KT WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TUE NIGHT INTO WED AS THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS AS A RESULT OF THIS FEATURE. BY THE END OF THE WEEK STRONG HIGH PRES CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF COAST STATES WILL SHIFT TO THE E AND BE CENTERED OVER THE SE U.S. STATES WITH INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER THE AREA. NE WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE BEGIN THU NIGHT CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST FRI NIGHT. WAVEWATCH BRINGS INCREASING NORTHERLY SWELL INTO THE SW N ATLC GENERATED BY A MID-LATITUDE LOW PRES SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE BY WELL TO THE N OF THE AREA BY THE END OF THE WEEK. SEAS BUILD CLOSE TO 12 FT BY LATE FRI NIGHT. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC W OF 55W... RARE LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES CONTINUE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRES REMAINS CENTERED WELL N OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR THE WEAKER GRADIENT TO CONTINUE. NORTHERLY SWELL UP TO 7 FT WITH PERIODS OF 10 TO 12 SECONDS CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO THE NE-E CARIBBEAN FROM THE NW ATLANTIC...AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL ATLC WATERS E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS (SEAS UP TO 9 FT THERE). THIS SWELL WILL GRADUALLY DECAY THROUGH MIDWEEK...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES EXPECTED WITH RESPECT TO THE PRES PATTERN. A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 55W WILL APPROACH THE S LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT...AND WILL MOVE INTO THE E CARIBBEAN ON TUE. THE WAVE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IN MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY THU. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. $$ FORECASTER LEWITSKY