000
AGXX40 KNHC 010713
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
215 AM EDT SUN NOV 01 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
COLD FRONT FROM 30N84W TO 19N93W DRIFTING SE.  GALE FORCE N WIND 
OVER SW GULF BEHIND FRONT EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH MON NIGHT.  
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS HAD A GOOD HANDLE ON TIMING AND COVERAGE OF 
GALE DIMINISHES WINDS A NOTCH LATE SUN BUT SECOND SURGE BRINGS 
GALES RIGHT BACK ON EARLY MON.  MODERATE TO STRONG BREEZE W OF 
FRONT ACROSS REMAINING GULF ACCUMULATES SWELLS INTO BAY OF 
CAMPECHE.  FEEL NWW3 IS NOT RECOGNIZING HIGHER SEAS REPORTED BY 
BUOYS AND SHIPS W OF 87W.  WILL ADD 3-5 FT TO GUIDANCE TO 
ACCOUNT FOR IT.  STRENGTH OF BROAD RIDGE OVER SE STATES THROUGH 
ENTIRE WEEK LIKELY TO MAINTAIN SIMILAR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT... 
WITH GALES EXPECTED TO COME DOWN TUE.  

SW N ATLC S OF 31N AND W OF 55W...
COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 1001 MB LOW PRES AT 30N4W TO 20N55W 
THEN STATIONARY TO 19N60W MOVING TOWARDS THE GREATER ANTILLES. 
GUIDANCE FOLLOWING WIND AND SEAS FAIRLY WELL WITH SHIP AND BUOY 
REPORTS SUPPORTING 10-12 FT NWW3 SOLUTION...AND THE RIGHT 
TIMING.  FRONT EXPECTED TO STALL AND WEAKEN THROUGH TODAY. LARGE 
LONG PERIOD SWELL PROPAGATE S TOWARD N COAST OF PUERTO RICO AND 
HISPANIOLA TODAY.  WIND AND SEAS DIMINISH THROUGH TUE AS 
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRES MOVES N AWAY FROM AREA.  SECOND COLD 
FRONT OFF GEORGIA COAST MON REACH FROM 31N75W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA 
LATE TUE BRING ANOTHER BLAST OF FRESH TO STRONG N TO NE BREEZE 
OVER SW N ATLC WED THEN DIMINISH THU.

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC W OF 55W...
LOW PRES OVER SW N ATLC MAINTAINS HIGH PRES RIDGE AWAY FROM 
CARIBBEAN SEA WITH RELAXED PRES GRADIENT AND FRESH TRADES ALONG 
MOST OF BASIN.  COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH GULF OF MEXICO BRING 
BRING FRESH NE BREEZE OVER NW ZONE AND MODERATE SWELLS SEEPING 
THROUGH YUCATAN CHANNEL.  SIMILARLY...ATLC PASSAGES MAINLY 
ANEGADA AND MONA WILL SEE LARGE N SWELLS INFILTRATING INTO 
CARIBBEAN TODAY THROUGH TUE. 

WARNINGS...

ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.GALE CONDITIONS TONIGHT S OF 21N W OF 93W.

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES