000 AGXX40 KNHC 221846 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 250 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER GULF STATES SHIFT E FORCED BY INCOMING COLD FRONT TAKING OVER REGION. FRONT BRINGS STRONG BREEZE AHEAD AND FRESH NORTHERLIES BEHIND FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SEAS BUILD UP TO 10 FT MAINLY OVER SW GULF REGION INCLUDING BAY OF CAMPECHE. FRONT STRETCHES FROM N FLORIDA TO NW YUCATAN EARLY SAT AND OUT OF AREA SUN. FRESH NE WINDS WITH SEAS 8 FT IN WAKE OF FRONT SAT AND SUN DIMINISH MODERATE MON. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC W OF 55W... BROAD TROUGH OVER SW CARIBBEAN SEA REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH FRI THEN BEGIN DRIFT N FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN. MODELS DIFFER IN GUIDANCE WHETHER SYSTEM COULD BECOME ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT... IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. LIGHT TO MODERATE TRADES OVER BASIN THROUGH SAT INCREASE SUN AS TROUGH OVER SW CARIBBEAN DRIFTS N. SW N ATLC S OF 31N AND W OF 65W... HIGH PRES N OF BASIN EXTENDS RIDGE OVER SW N ATLC WITH SWATH OF STRONG NE TO E BREEZE OVER SOUTHERN PERIPHERY TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA. RIDGE FORCED E SUN AND MON BY WEAK TROUGH MOVING NW ACROSS CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND COLD FRONT CROSSING FLORIDA LATE SAT NIGHT AND SUN. STRONG NW BREEZE AND SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT EXPECTED BEHIND FRONT. WARNINGS... ATLC... .NONE. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES