000
AGXX40 KNHC 140601
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND 
SHIFT S TO ALONG 27N LATER TODAY AND ALONG 23N FRI. A STRONG 
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE NW GULF LATE THU NIGHT OR EARLY FRI 
THEN EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO NEAR BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 
LATE FRI AND SW FLORIDA TO THE NE BAY OF CAMPECHE EARLY SAT THEN 
MOVES SE OF THE AREA BY EARLY SUN. NLY WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 
KT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON FRI THROUGH SUN...THEN SLOWLY 
DECREASE TO BELOW 20 KT OVER THE FAR NORTHERN GULF LATE SUN.

ATLC COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N70W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE 
FRONT WILL STALL OUT JUST OFF THE E CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST AND 
JUST N OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL INTO 
THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA LATE THU...WITH SW WINDS INCREASING
TO 20-15 KT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 
31N75W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA SAT AFTERNOON AND FROM 31N73W
TO CENTRAL CUBA SUN AFTERNOON. NLY WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 
20-25 KT BEHIND THE FRONT.

THE CARIBBEAN REMAINS RELATIVELY QUIET WITH 20 KT WINDS CONFINED 
TO NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...AND THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 
BELOW 20 KT LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE ATLC RIDGE HAS 
WEAKENED. HIGH PRES BUILDS NE OF THE CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL ATLC 
ZONE LATE FRI AND INTO THE WEEKEND WILL TIGHTEN THE PRES 
GRADIENT E OF AROUND 75W...WITH ELY WINDS INCREASING TO  20 KT. 
THE FIRST COLD FRONT OF THE YEAR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE 
NW GULF SUN AND EXTEND FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO BELIZE SUN AFTERNOON.
NLY WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT N OF THE FRONT. 

WARNINGS...

ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

$$
FORECASTER DGS