000 AGXX40 KNHC 031752 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU SEP 03 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO...A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE LOW PRES FORMED NEAR 27N86W 1012 MB ALONG THE PERSISTENT FRONTAL TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM W FL TO NW YUCATAN PENINSULA. EXPECT SYSTEM TO DRIFT E THIS AFTERNOON THEN STALL EARLY TONIGHT...THEN MOVE BACK NW FRI AS NE TO SW RIDGE BUILDS OVER E GULF SAT THROUGH TUE. ATLC...A SURFACE TROUGH 30N76W TO 27N78W WILL MEANDER UNTIL A STRONGER TROUGH...CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM 31N75W TO THE NW BAHAMAS...MOVES NW AND MERGES WITH THE WESTERN TROUGH FRI NIGHT. THE MERGED BOUNDARY WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE OVER THE EXTREME NW WATERS NEXT WEEK. T.S. ERIKA E OF THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NW INTO SE CORNER OF ATLC ZONE AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRI MORNING AND THEN TRACK NW OVER THE SE BAHAMAS THIS WEEKEND AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. TROPICAL ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...MINIMAL T.S. ERIKA EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NW PASSING ACROSS PUERTO RICO FRI WITH ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS NW OF AREA BY LATE SAT AS WINDS BECOME SE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN. SMALL AREA ENHANCED WINDS ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA CONTINUE TONIGHT AND FRI THEN WILL RELAX SOME SAT AND SUN AS REMNANTS OF ERIKA MOVE OUT THE THE NW. WARNINGS ATLC... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM 14N TO 20N W OF 60W...AMZ087. CARIBBEAN... .TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 14N E OF 65W....AMZ086. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE $$ FORECASTER NELSON