000
AGXX40 KNHC 021906
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
306 PM EDT WED SEP 02 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO STATIONARY EXTENDS FRONT FROM NW FLORIDA TO 
25N93W HAS NOT DENTED FLAT PRES PATTERN ACROSS GULF...WITHN
LIGHT WINDS...10 KT OR LESS. SEAS ALSO REMAIN FLAT BASICLLY LESS 
THAN 3 FT OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND 2 FT OR LESS OVER THE 
EASTERN GULF. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH LIES IN THE STRAITS OF 
FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE ALONG THE 
FRONT. THE FRONT EXPECTED TO DRIFT S AND BECOME DIFFUSE FRI.
 
ATLC SURFACE TROUGH FROM 30N75W TO 22N74W WIL DRIFT NW AND MERGE 
WITH SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS FLORIDA PENINSULA FRI. TROPICAL STORM 
ERIKA NOW OVER TROPICAL ATLC ZONE FORECAST TO CROSS 65W FRI IN 
W-NW TRACK JUST N OF GREATER ANTILLES THROUGH SAT. ERIKA IS 
FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSING WHILE MOVING ACROSS 
THE BAHAMAS SUN AND MON. MARINE INTEREST SHOULD MONITOR THE 
PROGRESS OF ERIKA THROUGH AWIPS HEADER TCMAT1 OR WMO HEADER 
WTNT21 KNHC.

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH LARGE CLUSTERS OF 
CONVECTION WITHIN 300 NM OVER THE E SEMICIRCLE. LATEST ADVISORY
HAS LOWERED THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS TO 35 KT GUST TO 45 KT.
STRONGEST WINDS PRESENTLY IN NE SEMICIRCLE AND SE QUADRANT OF 
THE STORM. THE S PORTION OF ERIKA WILL BRUSH THE NE CORNER OF 
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT TROUGH FRI. ELSEWHERE IN CARIBBEAN...ERIKA HAS 
FLATTENED PRES GRADIENT AND EFFECTIVELY DIMINISHED ANY STRONG 
WINDS ACROSS MOST OF BASIN.  ONLY SMALL AREA ALONG COAST OF 
COLOMBIA ACCOUNTS FOR A MODERATE BREEZE WHILE REMAINING CARIBBEA
WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT.

WARNINGS
ATLC...
.TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 15N...AMZ087.

CARIBBEAN...
.TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 16N E OF 66W...AMZ086.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES