000
AGXX40 KNHC 011937
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
300 PM EDT TUE SEP 01 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

STATIONARY FRONT FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.
LITTLE IMPACT ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT...AS THE GRADIENT REMAINS
VERY WEAK WITH WINDS GENERALLY 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS AREA RATHER 
FLAT...BELOW 3 FT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE S AND EXTEND FROM NW 
FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WED AND THU AND DISSIPATE FRI. 

ATLC SURFACE TROUGH FROM 27N76W TO 20N73W. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE 
NW AND EVENTUALLY MERGE WITH A FRONT OVER THE FAR NW PORTION OF 
THE AREA. A LOW PRES CENTERED OVER THE TROPICAL ATLC
ZONE IS FORECAST TO CROSS 65W LATE FRI AND TRACK ACROSS THE 
BAHAMAS SAT AND SUN. AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSION THE
GFS IS THE LEAST AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS FEATURE. HOWEVER THE LOW 
DOES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

SURFACE 1007 MB LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 16N57W MOVING NW. THE 
LOW COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 
HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH THE LOW ARE OVER THE N SEMICIRCLE
WITH A TIGHTENED PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW AND HIGHER PRES TO
THE N. THE LOW SHOULD MOVE JUST TO THE N OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
AND MOVE W OF THE AREA BY FRI. A LARGE CLUSTER OF STRONG 
CONVECTION IS JUST E OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. OTHERWISE 15-20 KT 
WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...AND 5-10 KT WINDS OVER THE 
NW CARIBBEAN.

WARNINGS

ATLC...
.NONE

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE. 

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE

$$
FORECASTER DGS