000
AGXX40 KNHC 150802
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA 
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
WEAK 1017 MB HIGH PRES CENTER AT 26N87W HAS RIDGE COVERING N OF 
25N WITH GENTLE BREEZE AND SLIGHT SEAS MAINLY OVER E HALF OF 
GULF.  MODERATE SE BREEZE SKIRTS SE TEXAS COAST. SFC TROUGH OVER 
YUCATAN PENINSULA ALONG 89W CONTINUE DRIFTING W AND SHOULD ENTER 
BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE TODAY OR TONIGHT.  RIDGE MAINTAINS VERY DRY 
AIR MASS OVER GULF LIMITING DEVELOPMENT OF ANY SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION.   

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 73W MOVING W AT 15 KT SHOULD BE OVER 
NICARAGUA COAST BY LATE TUE.  WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 82W 
MOVING VERY LITTLE IS BOUND TO BE CAUGHT UP BY TROPICAL WAVE AND 
MERGE.  SECOND SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 87W SHOULD MOVE OVER YUCATAN 
PENINSULA TODAY.  THIRD SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 92W BRINGING 
SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 20N SHOULD 
CONTINUE MOVING W AT 10 KR AND BE OUT OF AREA TONIGHT.  

SUBTROPICAL ATLC W OF 65W...    
DEEP LAYERED TROUGH REMAINS MAIN FEATURE IN SW N ATLC EXTENDING 
SW ACROSS CUBA INTO WESTERN CARIBBEAN.  TROUGH INDUCES SCATTERED 
CONVECTION S OF 23N W OF 68W AND S OF 26N E OF 68W.  AIR MASS 
LADEN WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTING FROM E PAC ACROSS WESTERN 
CARIBBEAN INTO SW N ATLC FIND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS 
FOR NON-STOP CONVECTION WHICH LIKELY WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 
48-72 HRS.  SURFACE HIGH PRES OVER CENTRAL ATLC 1021 MB HAS 
EXTENDS ALONG 27N TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA.  LOW PRES CENTER 
DEVELOPS OFF COAST OF CAROLINAS TUE AND WED INCREASING SW FLOW N 
OF 28N.  ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ENTER N WATERS TUE NIGHT AND WED. 
NE SWELL IN WAKE OF FRONT SPREAD SE ACROSS N WATERS BUILDING 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 

WARNINGS
ATLC...
.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.