000
AGXX40 KNHC 171912
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT SUN MAY 17 2009

GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT FROM SE LOUISIANA TO NEAR TAMPICO 
MEXICO. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NW FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF 
CAMPECHE MON THEN SLOWLY DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. NLY WINDS INCREASE 
BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT AND MON THEN INCREASE FURTHER LATE MON 
NIGHT AND TUE AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER 
THE EASTERN U.S. AND LOW PRES MOVING N FROM THE NW CARIBBEAN 
INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS MON NIGHT. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO 
DRIFT N ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA THROUGH WED...THEN
MOVE WWD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENISULA INTO THE NE GULF 
OF MEXICO TO NEAR 28N85W THU AND NEAR 29N87W FRI. LATEST 
FORECAST CALLS FOR POSSIBLE GALE CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN 
GULF LATE TUE AND WED THEN SPREAD INTO THE MIDDLE GULF WED.
MODELS DO NOT INDICATE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF SO MAY HAVE 
TO BRING THINGS DOWN A LITTLE BIT.

THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE ATLC ZONE BY 
EARLY MON NEAR THE NW BAHAMAS. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE 
LATE TUE AND INTO WED N OF THE LOW...THEN DECREASE AS THE LOW 
MOVES W INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO THU AND FRI.  BRISK ELY WINDS
CONTINUE N OF AROUND 28N THROUGH THU THEN DECREASE FRI.

SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO 15N81W.
LOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP S OF CUBA MON AND MOVE N OF THE 
CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO DISRUPT TRADE WINDS W 
OF 75W WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. TRADES WILL REMAIN IN THE 15-20 
KT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

ATLC...

.NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
.NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
.NONE.

FORECASTER DGS. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.