000 AGXX40 KNHC 241900 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 PM EDT FRI APR 24 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HEALTHY HIGH PRES CENTER 1027 MB JUST NE OF BASIN STRENTHENS AND MAINTAINS STEADY E TO SE FLOW ACROSS ENTIRE GULF THROUGH ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. SEAS BUILD 8-9 FT UNDER STRONG WINDS TOPPING CLOSE TO 30 KT FLOWING DIRECTLY AGAINST E CURRENT ALONG STRAITS OF FLORIDA INDUCING HIGHER STEEPER WAVES OF 12 FT AND GREATER. WAVE MODELS GUIDANCE MIGHT NOT BE HANDLING THIS SITUATION WELL. SW N ATLC... DEEP LAYER TROUGH THAT SUPPORTED SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHIFTED NE EFFECTIVELY STALLING FRONT FROM BERMUDA TO WINDWARD PASSAGE. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDING AIR KEEPS WATERS AWAY FROM FRONTAL BOUNDARY FAIRLY DRY. HEALTHY HIGH PRES 1027 MB BEHIND FRONT GETS UPPER SUPPORT AND STREGTHENS WHILE DRIFTING N OF 31N TONIGHT AND SAT. THIS PRODUCES FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS ENTIRE BASIN WITH WINDS REACHING 30 KT NEAR STRAITS OF FLORIDA. LONG FETCH ON SE SIDE OF RIDGE INCREASES SWELLS S OF 25N MAINLY ACROSS PASSAGES TO GULF AND CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRES GIVES HINT OF WEAKENING LATE TUE AND WED...BUT REINFORCING UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE RIDGE MIGHT MAKE THIS MINOR. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... HEALTHY PRES GRADIENT PREVAIL FOR NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BETWEEN BUILDING RIDGE 1027 MB OVER SW N ATLC AND PREVAILING LOW PRES 1010 MB OVER COLOMBIA. THIS DRIVE TRADES TO NEAR 30 KT ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA EXPANDING COVERAGE OF 20-25 KT ACROSS EASTERN CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL ATLC ALSO REMAIN UNDER FRESH TO STRONG TRADES E OF ISLANDS WITH SE PERIPHERY OF ATLC HIGH PRES RIDGE PRODUCING LONG FETCH AIMED AT AREA BUILDING NE SWELLS TO 10 FT BY SUN. ATLC... .NONE.. CARIBBEAN... .NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... .NONE. FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.