000 AGXX40 KNHC 251938 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EST WED FEB 25 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... 10-15 KT SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW DOMINATES THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER. SEAS ARE PREDOMINATELY 2-5 FT WITH 6-7 FT ALONG THE S TEXAS COAST. THE NEXT FEATURE TO ENTER THE NW GULF IS A COLD FRONT FORECAST FOR SAT AT 1800 UTC BY THE GFS...NOGAPS...AND UKMET GLOBAL MODELS. 25- 30 KT WINDS WILL BE BEHIND THE FRONT. BY SUN 1800 UTC THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM SOUTH FLORIDA TO THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...NW FLOW WILL DOMINATE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. CARIBBEAN... THE TAIL END OF A QUASISTATIONARY FRONT IS OVER E CUBA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER N COLOMBIA. FRESH TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE NOTED OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO BELIZE. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN ON MON 0000 UTC WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO N HONDURAS ON MON 1800 UTC. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ACCOMPANY THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND WILL BE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN ON SAT THROUGH MON. ATLC... A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC FROM 31N54W TO 25N65W AND CONTINUES AS A QUASISTATIONARY FRONT TO E CUBA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE FRONTS. 20-25 KT WINDS WITH 8-10 FT SWELL DOMINATE THE SEAS E OF THE BAHAMAS N OF THE FRONTS. A 1017 MB LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON THE FRONT BY SAT 1200 UTC NEAR 28N63W. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE GEORGIA COAST SUN 0600 UTC AND WILL EXTEND FROM 31N66W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ON MON 1800 UTC. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ACCOMPANY THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND WILL BE OVER THE W ATLANTIC ON SAT THROUGH MON. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER FORMOSA. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.