000
AGXX40 KNHC 151931
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
235 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...
CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM N FLORIDA TO DEVELOPING LOW PRES 
AT 29N93W THEN COLD FRONT TO 25N97W.  SMALL AREA OF STRONG NE 
WINDS N OF 25N W OF 95W DIMINISH BY TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRES RIDGE 
SLIDES S INTO GULF STATES.  RIDGE FORCED EASTWARD BY NEXT COLD 
FRONT WHICH ENTERS GULF NW COAST LATE WED AND QUICKLY PRODUCE 
STRONG S-SW WIND AHEAD OF IT N OF 25N E OF 90W.  BEHIND FRONT... 
RIDGE BRINGS STRONG N-NE WINDS TO MOST OF BASIN THROUGH LATE FRI.

CARIBBEAN...
TRADES WEAKENED AS PRES GRADIENT EASES MAINLY BY FORMATION OF 
LOW PRES JUST N OF AREA.  ALTHOUGH SOME 25 KT ALONG COAST OF 
COLOMBIA HAVE BEEN REPORTED...TREND IS FOR MODERATE E-NE WINDS 
IN SMALLER AREA CONFINED TO S OF 13N NEAR 75W.  WINDS PICK UP 
ONCE COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND HIGH PRES OVER SW N ATLC BUILDS 
IN.  MODERATE TO STRONG NE PREVAIL OVER ENTIRE BASIN TILL END OF 
FORECAST PERIOD.  

ATLANTIC W OF 55W...
MAIN FEATURE OF IMPORTANCE IS THE RAPID DEEPENING OF LOW PRES 
CENTER ONCE IT GETS OVER SW N ATLC AS IT FOLLOWS STATIONARY 
FRONTAL BOUNDARY EASTWARD.  AREAS OF GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 28N 
AHEAD AND BEHIND FRONT MON MOVE NE OUT OF FORECAST WATERS TUE 
FORCED BY BUILDING HIGH PRES CENTERED 1024 MB...WHICH IN TURN 
QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO NEXT COLD FRONT COMING OUT OF N FLORIDA 
WATERS LATE THU.  THIS NEXT FRONT HAS POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE GALE 
FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF IT N OF 30N STATING EARLY THU THROUGH LATE 
FRI.  
 
ATLANTIC...
...GALE WARNING MON N OF 28N FROM 63W TO 75W...AMZ080.
...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THU N OF 30N...AMZ080

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.