000 AGXX40 KNHC 021630 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE MUCH ADVERTISED LOW PRES FORMING AROUND 27N88W WITH AN ANALYZED PRES AROUND 1012 MB. THERE IS SOME HINT OF A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM THIS LOW THROUGH SW FLORIDA. A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLIER THIS MORNING...AND NOW EXTENDS FROM S CENTRAL LOUISIANA TO S OF THE U.S. MEXICO BORDER. THE UPPER SUPPORT FOR THESE FEATURES IS AN UPPER TROUGH THAT IS BECOMING MORE AMPLIFIED AS IT DIGS THROUGH MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN U.S. THE LOW EJECTS E THEN NE THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY...AS THE FRONT PUSHES RAPIDLY ACROSS THE GULF. EXPECT GALES OVER THE FAR SW GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND THIS FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONT CLEARS THE SE GULF BY TOMORROW MORNING...WITH WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY SUBSIDING MAINLY OVER THE NW GULF WHERE HIGH PRES BUILDS...WITH FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS STILL BLOWING OVER THE SE GULF AND YUCATAN CHANNEL AREA THROUGH TUE NIGHT. A NORTHERLY JET STREAK ALOFT DIGS INTO THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE TROUGH TUE NIGHT OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES...SUPPORTING A REINFORCING FRONT PUSHING INTO THE NE GULF. WINDS INCREASE AGAIN OVER THE NE GULF BEHIND THE FRONT...SPREADING S OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH LATE WED. HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THU INTO FRI...ALLOWING WINDS TO DIMINISH FOR ALL BUT THE SE PORTION OF THE GULF. SE RETURN FLOW INCREASES OVER THE TEXAS COAST FRI INTO SAT AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EAST. CARIBBEAN... A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TONIGHT...BRINGING STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN TUE. THE FRONT EXTENDS FROM E CUBA TO NE HONDURAS BY TUE NIGHT...BEFORE STALLING FROM SW HAITI TO NE NICARAGUA BY WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATING THU. NE WINDS INCREASE OVER THE ENTIRE WESTERN CARIBBEAN INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRES BUILDS TO THE NORTH. THE HIGH PRES STRENGTHENS BY THU BEHIND A REINFORCING FRONT PUSHING INTO CUBA...ALLOWING WINDS TO INCREASE TO 30 KT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA FROM COLOMBIA TO NICARAGUA. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THU AS THE REINFORCING FRONT APPROACHES TO THE NW OF THE AREA...BUT RAPIDLY REINTENSIFY AS THE HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO THE EASTERN ATLC. WINDS START TO DIMINISH BY SAT OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN FRI AND SAT AS THE HIGH PRES WORKS EAST. ATLANTIC W OF 55W... HIGH PRES NE OF BERMUDA IS MAINTAINING A SWATH OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM 25N55W TO 21N70W. SOUTHERLY FLOW STARTS TO INCREASE OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST AND N OF THE BAHAMAS LATER TODAY...AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING. THIS FLOW WILL REACH GALE FORCE BEFORE MIDNIGHT NE OF GRAND BAHAMA ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT. THE AREA OF GALES WILL SWEEP EAST WITH THE FRONT GENERALLY N OF 27N...PASSING BERMUDA BY TUE NIGHT. STRONG NW WINDS FOLLOW THE FRONT AS WELL. A REINFORCING FRONT WILL PUSH OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST TUE NIGHT. COLD AIR ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL ALLOW WINDS TO REACH GALE FORCE IN THE WATERS BETWEEN N FLORIDA AND BERMUDA N OF 28N THROUGH WED NIGHT. LARGE NORTHERLY SWELL WILL RESULT FROM THE PERSISTENT STRONG FLOW BEHIND THE FRONTS...SWEEPING ALONG THE BAHAMAS AND INTO THE LEEWARDS THROUGH FRI. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH MAINLY OVER WATERS N OF 27N AFTER WED AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WILL PERSIST S OF THE HIGH PRES THROUGH THE AREA S OF 27N INTO THIS WEEKEND. ATLANTIC... AMZ088...GALE WARNING. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ082...GALE WARNING. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.