000
AGXX40 KNHC 281750
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1250 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...
CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVEL...
MODERATE WEST SOUTHWESTERLIES COVER THE NORTHWEST THIRD OF THE 
GULF OF MEXICO AND ELSEWHERE A WEAK HEIGHT PATTERN PREVAILS. THE 
WESTERLIES WILL EXTEND EASTWARD NORTH OF THE GREATER ANTILLES. A 
STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY FRIDAY AND 
REACH FLORIDA FRIDAY NIGHT THEN PASS EAST OF 65W SATURDAY NIGHT. 
BY THAT TIME MODERATE WESTERLIES WILL COVER THE AREA NORTH OF 
20N WITH A WEAK RIDGE SOUTH OF 20N. ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE 
WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST MONDAY REACHING FLORIDA LATE 
MONDAY NIGHT.

SURFACE...
WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL 
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE FRONT WILL BE INVIGORATED BY THE FIRST 
SHORTWAVE WITH INCREASING WINDS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE FRONT 
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. BY MIDDAY FRIDAY THE FRONT WILL 
EXTEND THROUGH 31N74W TO THE FLORIDA KEYS AND TO THE BAY OF 
CAMPECHE. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF 
OF MEXICO. ALSO IN THE ATLANTIC NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS ARE 
FORECAST EAST OF THE FRONT BY THE GFS EVENING FORECAST SHIFT MAY 
BEGIN GALE WILL BE IN THE ATLANTIC. BY MIDDAY SATURDAY THE FRONT 
WILL EXTEND THROUGH 31N62W TO THE MONA PASSAGE TO THE GULF OF 
HONDURAS. THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN SATURDAY NIGHT. BY 
MIDDAY SUNDAY THE FRONT WILL EXTEND THROUGH 26N55W TO PUERTO 
RICO AND WILL BE ESSENTIALLY BRIDGED IN THE CARIBBEAN. BY SUNDAY 
NIGHT THE FRONT WILL BE BRIDGE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. A RIDGE 
WILL BUILD EASTWARD JUST NORTH OF THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. 

NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND 
BY MIDDAY MONDAY EXTEND FROM A LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO DEVELOP 
OVER SOUTH GEORGIA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. STRONG WINDS ARE 
FORECAST WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH GALES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND 
ON BOTH SIDES OF THE FRONT NORTH OF 25N MONDAY. THE TRACK OF 
THIS LOW IS REMINISCENT OF THE "STORM OF THE CENTURY." BOTH THE 
06Z AND 12Z RUNS ARE ENTHUSIASTIC ABOUT THIS SYSTEM.
 
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER LL. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.