000 AGXX40 KNHC 250625 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 125 AM EST SUN JAN 25 2009 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... A COLD FRONT FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO NE MEXICO IS BEGINNING TO STALL AS ITS UPPER SUPPORT HAS SHIFTED INTO THE ATLC. BUOY OBS BEHIND THE FRONT ARE NE AROUND 15 KT WITH SEAS IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE BUT WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS THE BOUNDARY WEAKENS. THE WEAK FRONT LIFTS BACK N OF THE AREA LATE MON AS HIGH PRES STRENGTHENS OVER THE CENTRAL-EASTERN CONUS ...WHICH WILL INCREASE RETURN FLOW OVER THE FAR W GULF WATERS. THE HIGH SHIFTS E TUE IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS TUE NIGHT. THIS SECOND FRONT ALSO APPEARS TO LACK A SIGNIFICANT INITIAL PUSH AND WILL CONSEQUENTLY STALL FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO NE MEXICO WED. HOWEVER... MODELS SHOW THE FRONT BECOMING REINFORCED BY A SHARPER SHORTWAVE LATE THU AND FRI. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... THE REMNANTS OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...BUT THERE ARE STILL SCATTERED SHOWERS IN ITS VICINITY NEAR HAITI. OTHERWISE...SFC OBS AND SCATTEROMETER DATA REVEAL NE 15-20 KT FLOW W OF 72W...EXCEPT TO 25 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...AND SIMILAR MAGNITUDE ELY FLOW OVER THE E CARIBBEAN AND TROP N ATLC. TRADES WILL LIKELY INCREASE SLIGHTLY OVER MUCH OF THE AREA MON THROUGH THU AS HIGH PRES STRENGTHENS AND SINKS SE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ATLC. SW N ATLC... A NE-SW HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 29N65W TO SOUTH FLORIDA. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS...BUT A COUPLE OTHER WEATHER FEATURES ARE HAVING AN AFFECT ON THE FLOW ELSEWHERE. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N65W TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC IS MAINTAINING NE 15 KT WINDS WITHIN 240 NM W OF THE FRONT. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRES OVER THE W ATLC IS PRODUCING 15-20 KT WLY FLOW OVER THE FAR NW WATERS. THIS TROUGH ...AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT...LOOKS TO BE THE MAIN ELEMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FOR THE FAR N WATERS AS IT SLOWLY SLIDES THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND MON. A MUCH STRONGER BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE NW WATERS LATE IN THE WEEK. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CANGIALOSI. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.