000 AGXX40 KNHC 050528 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1227 AM EST FRI DEC 05 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. RADIOFAX SCHEDULE FOR GRAPHICAL WIND WAVE...SURFACE FORECAST AND PEAK WAVE PERIOD CHARTS HAS CHANGED. FOR THE ATLANTIC BASIN THIS INCLUDES 24...36...48 AND 72 HOUR WIND WAVE..24...48..72 HOUR SURFACE FORECAST AND 48 AND 72 HOUR PEAK WAVE PERIOD CHARTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE FAX SCHEDULE ON THE NHC WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/RADIOFAX.SHTML THE GULF OF MEXICO... A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED DEEP LAYER TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH TEXAS WILL SHIFT INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FRI. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS ANALYZED FROM NEAR FORT WALTON BEACH FLORIDA TO A 1018 MB LOW NEAR 24N95W...TO THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN TAMPICO AND VERACRUZ. QUIKSCAT AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS CONFIRM 20 TO 25 KT NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE SUPPORTING UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...ALLOWING THE FRONT TO STALL AND WEAKEN OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS BY SUNDAY WITH DIMINISHING WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT FRI INTO SAT. THE ONLY EXCEPT WILL BE OVER THE NE GULF BY LATE SAT...WHERE HIGH PRES BUILDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. WILL PROVIDE WEAK REINFORCEMENT AND ALLOW SLIGHTLY INCREASED NW WINDS. LIGHT WINDS PREVAIL SUN INTO MON...FOLLOWED BY INCREASING RETURN FLOW OFF THE TEXAS COAST MON AHEAD OF A STRONGER LOW PRES AREA DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EXTENDED MODELS SHOW THIS LOW SHIFTING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY MIDWEEK...WITH STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF ON TUE. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLC WATERS W OF 55W... A STATIONARY FRONT FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO BELIZE DISSIPATES THROUGH TODAY. CONVECTION IS DIMINISHING OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ASSOCIATED WITH DISSIPATING LOW/INVERTED TROUGH N OF PANAMA. THE MAIN INFLUENCE ON WINDS HAS BEEN HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHEAST U.S.THAT HAS SHIFTED EAST TOWARD BERMUDA. THIS HAS ALLOWED WINDS TO DIMINISH OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SOMEWHAT AS VERIFIED BY SCATTEROMETER AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS. 20 TO 25 KT WINDS OFF THE COLOMBIAN COAST HAVE DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY AS WELL. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL PERSIST FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN INCREASE AS STRONGER HIGH PRES BUILDS TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. SW N ATLC... GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ARE NOTED CURRENTLY HAS MUCH OF THE AREA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRES BETWEEN THE CAROLINAS AND BERMUDA. A WEAK COLD FRONT MAKE SLOW PROGRESS OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST BY LATE FRI. SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST SAT AHEAD OF A REINFORCING FRONT MOVING OFF THE COAST. 20 TO 25 KT WINDS FOLLOW THIS FRONT AS IT GLIDES EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY. THE FRONT STALLS FROM ROUGHLY 31N55W THROUGH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY LATE MONDAY AS UPPER SUPPORT LIFTS OUT...ALLOWING WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISH N OF THE FRONT INTO TUE. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.