000 AGXX40 KNHC 031854 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 155 PM EST WED DEC 03 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. RADIOFAX SCHEDULE FOR GRAPHICAL WIND WAVE...SURFACE FORECAST AND PEAK WAVE PERIOD CHARTS HAS CHANGED. FOR THE ATLANTIC BASIN THIS INCLUDES 24...36...48 AND 72 HOUR WIND WAVE..24...48..72 HOUR SURFACE FORECAST AND 48 AND 72 HOUR PEAK WAVE PERIOD CHARTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE FAX SCHEDULE ON THE NHC WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/RADIOFAX.SHTML THE GULF OF MEXICO... STRONG SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW IS IN FULL FORCE OVER THE WRN GULF IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING DEEP LAYER TROUGH PUSHING SE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGH RESOLUTION QSCAT PASS FROM 1222 UTC AND BUOYS SHOW A REGION OF 25-30 KT SLY WINDS OFF THE S TX COAST. BUOYS 42019 AND 42020 BOTH HAVE REPORTED SEAS OF 10 FT. THIS TROUGH SHEARS OUT AS IT MOVES OVER THE LONGWAVE RIDGE IN PLACE OFF THE SE COAST AND AS SUCH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHES OFF THE TEXAS COAST OVERNIGHT AND EXTENDS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE TO WRN BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE THU. GFS HAS COME INTO AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS IN PUSHING THE FRONT FURTHER S INTO THE WRN BAY OF CAMPECHE/E OF THE SIERRA MADRE. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A SOMEWHAT STRONGER REFLECTION OF A SURFACE LOW MOVING ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE N-CENTRAL GULF. THE FRONT MAKES ONLY SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS THE GULF FRI AND SAT BEFORE IT IS REINFORCED ON SUN AND PUSHES SWD TO ALONG 23N. HIGH PRES OVER THE U.S. MOVES EWD MON AND ALLOWS FOR RETURN FLOW TO COMMENCE OVER THE WRN GULF. THE SW N ATLC... HIGH RESOLUTION QSCAT PASS FROM 1042 UTC INDICATED THAT THE TWO COLD FRONTS IN THE SW N ATLC HAVE MERGED AND CURRENTLY EXTEND FROM 30N64W TO THE SE BAHAMAS/E CUBA. THE PORTION OF THE FRONT S OF 25N HAS STALLED. THE SAME QSCAT PASS INDICATED A NARROWING BAND OF 20 KT NE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NW OF THE FRONT. FRONT DISSIPATES THU WITH NE TO E WINDS DECREASING. MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT IN DEPICTING A WEAKER SFC LOW WHICH MOVES A NEW FRONT INTO THE FAR NW CORNER OF THE AREA EARLY SAT. THE SFC LOW DEEPENS N OF THE AREA SUN AND SWEEPS THE COLD FRONT EWD ACROSS THE NW HALF OF THE AREA BY LATE SUN WITH NW WINDS OF 20-25 KT IN ITS WAKE. IF THE SFC LOW STRENGTHENS FURTHER S THAN CURRENTLY FCST...NW WINDS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 30 KT ACROSS THE FAR NRN TIER OF THE ZONE. FRONT CONTINUES EWD AND BECOMES MORE' E-W ORIENTED ALONG 26N BY LATE MON WITH WINDS VEERING TO THE NE BUT REMAINING 20 KT MAINLY E OF 75W. THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC ZONE... THE EDGE OF A 1040 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS STILL INDICATED AN AREA OF 25-30 KT WINDS NEAR CUBA AND JAMAICA...AND AN EXPANDING AREA OF 20 KT WINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN W OF 67W. STATIONARY FRONT FROM E CUBA TO 13N82W IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT WWD AND WEAKEN BY THU WITH OVERALL AREA OF 20 KT WINDS AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE FRONT MERGING INTO A BROAD AREA W OF 67W. WINDS SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND OVER THE CARIBBEAN AND REMAIN LIGHT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER COBB. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.