000 AGXX40 KNHC 020703 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EST MON DEC 01 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. RADIOFAX SCHEDULE FOR GRAPHICAL WIND WAVE...SURFACE FORECAST AND PEAK WAVE PERIOD CHARTS HAS CHANGED. FOR THE ATLANTIC BASIN THIS INCLUDES 24...36...48 AND 72 HOUR WIND WAVE..24...48..72 HOUR SURFACE FORECAST AND 48 AND 72 HOUR PEAK WAVE PERIOD CHARTS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO THE FAX SCHEDULE ON THE NHC WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/RADIOFAX.SHTML THE GULF OF MEXICO... QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 2358 UTC SHOWS WINDS IN THE 30 TO 40 KT RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE N CENTRAL GULF N OF 27N BEHIND THE COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM CEDAR KEY...FL TO NEAR 24N94W AND A GALE WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT BUT IS EXPECTED TO EXPIRE TUE MORNING. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MERGE LATE TUE WITH THE SURFACE BOUNDARY CURRENTLY FOUND FROM THE WESTERN BAHAMAS TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO IN THE WAKE OF THIS DISSIPATING BOUNDARY. THE MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON CARRYING THE NEXT COLD FRONT INTO THE NW GULF OVERNIGHT WED NIGHT...WITH THE BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO MAKE SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESS BEFORE DISSIPATING FRI. THE SW N ATLC... A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD FRONT LYING FROM 31N71W TO THE EASTERN BAHAMAS TO CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 22N78W WILL RECEIVE A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR AND NW FLOW AS THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO MERGES WITH THIS BOUNDARY LATE TUE. THE GFS...UKMET...AND ECMWF DEVELOP A WEAK SURFACE WAVE NEAR 31N77W TUE MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF FRONT...WITH THE GFS THE MOST ROBUST WITH THE LOW...GENERATING GALE FORCE WINDS AND SEAS IN THE 9 TO 10 FT RANGE JUST N OF THE BAHAMAS TOMORROW. WITH THE OTHER MODELS WEAKER...ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TOWARD THE ECMWF AND UKMET SOLUTIONS HERE. A PERSISTENT RIDGE AXIS E OF THE AREA WILL FORCE THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE ZONE NORTHWARD AS IT MOVES EAST...WEAKENING ITS SURFACE REFLECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE ZONE THU. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL PASS EASTWARD INTO NW WATERS BY FRI...BUT IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY WEAK AS ITS UPPER SUPPORT WILL BE LIFTING NORTHWARD AS THE BOUNDARY DIPS INTO FORECAST WATERS. THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC ZONE... ASCAT PASS FROM 0220 UTC SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF 20 TO 25 KT WINDS N OF THE FRONT STRETCHED FROM CENTRAL CUBA NEAR 22N78W TO THE 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP SLIGHTLY IN THE NW CARIBBEAN TUE AS THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO MERGES WITH THIS BOUNDARY...BUT WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH GALE FORCE. OTHERWISE...EXPECT THE FLOW TO BE DOMINATED BY THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ084 AND GMZ086...GALE WARNING N OF 27N. FORECASTER SCHAUER CLARK. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.