000 AGXX40 KNHC 300541 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 140 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... 1028 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED OVER THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA THIS MORNING. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS PREVAIL OVER NORTHERN GULF WATERS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH. A 01Z QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED 20 KT NE WINDS PERSISTING AT LEAST THROUGH THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF AND INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE SURFACE HIGH BUILD TO THE NE INTO THE CAROLINAS. AS A RESULT...EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE FRI INTO SAT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS SOUTH OF THE BUILDING SURFACE HIGH PRES. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS. CARIBBEAN AND TROP ATLC WATERS W OF 55W... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NE NICARAGUA. AN ASCAT PASS AND BUOY DATA SHOW 20 TO 25 KT NE WINDS STILL EVIDENT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NW OF THE FRONT. 15 TO 20 KT WINDS ARE EVIDENT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. A SURGE OF EAST WINDS IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR 70W...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVE IN THE AREA. REPORTS FROM BUOY 42059 IN THE AREA CONFIRM QUIKSCAT DATA SHOWING 15 TO 20 KT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURGE. MEANWHILE NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUES TO PUSH INTO ATLANTIC PASSAGES ALTHOUGH IS DECAYING TO BELOW 6 FT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AS THE FRONT DISSIPATES AND AS HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA LIFTS OUT. FRESH 20 KT WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN HOWEVER INTO AT LEAST SUNDAY. FRESH TRADES PERSIST OVER THE TROP N ATLC WATERS E OF THE LEEWARDS...WITH MIXED N AND E SWELL UP TO 9 FT. WINDS DIMINISH SLIGHTLY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED. SW N ATLC... A STALLING FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM 31N58W TO 25N63W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS IS WELL DEFINED IN QUIKSCAT DATA ALONG ROUGHLY 28N. A NEW SURGE OF COLD AIR ADVECTION OFF THE CAROLINA COAST IS REINFORCING THE FRONT TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA. THIS WILL BRING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA FROM BERMUDA TO THE BAHAMAS FRI AND SAT. MEANWHILE AN UPPER TROUGH/CLOSED LOW IS EXPECTED TO DIG INTO THE FAR NE GULF OF MEXICO SAT INTO SUN...BEFORE LIFTING TO THE NE OUT MON INTO TUE. THIS WILL HELP SUPPORT A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER ATLC WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS MON INTO TUE. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE WEAKENING NE TO E WINDS SUN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AS THE FRONT DISSIPATES...BUT A CONTINUATION OF FRESH EAST WINDS MAINLY N OF 28N. ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.