000 AGXX40 KNHC 190749 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 149 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. THE GULF OF MEXICO...A COLD FRONT ALONG THE LINE FROM 27N80W TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE TO 22N90W IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA NEAR 19N92W WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD WILL STALL FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS 20 KT ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH FOR ALL BUT THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS NEAR THE FRONT...BETWEEN HIGH PRES BUILDING OVER THE SE UNITED STATES AND LOW PRES NEAR BELIZE. WEAK RETURN FLOW SETS UP ALONG THE TEXAS COAST BY TUE...AHEAD OF ANOTHER FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED PUSH OFF THE TEXAS COAST BY LATE WED BUT MAY MAKE SLOW PROGRESS THU INTO THE GULF AS UPPER SUPPORT CUTS OFF OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL ATLC WATERS W OF 55W... THE 1012 MB LOW CENTER SOUTH OF JAMAICA HAS WEAKENED AND NOW IS A SURFACE TROUGH. THE BELIZE COAST 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER REMAINS. THE BELIZE COAST LOW CENTER IS FORECAST TO LINGER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MOST GLOBAL MODELS KEEP IT STATIONARY...BUT THE GFS LIFTS IT NE THROUGH WESTERN CUBA BY WED INTO THU. A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 57W/58W WILL CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD NORTH OF GUYANA AND REACH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY LATE SUNDAY...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY MIDWEEK. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 38W/39W MOVES INTO THE WATERS NORTH OF GUYANA AND EAST OF BARBADOS BY MON AND TUE...AND REACHES THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY MID WEEK. WINDS AND SEAS PICK UP EARLY NEXT WEEK ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE TROPICAL WAVES MIGRATING INTO THE AREA. THE ATLANTIC WATERS N OF 20N W OF 55W...HIGH PRES BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE BAHAMAS SHIFTS EAST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT EMERGING OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST TODAY. A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL PUSH THE FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS THROUGH MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY 20 KT NORTHERLY FLOW AND FRESH SWELL FROM 8 TO 12 FT. THE TROUGH LIFTS OUT EARLY IN THE WEEK AND HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. WINDS DIMINISH IN ALL BUT THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA STRAITS AREAS BETWEEN THE HIGH AND TROPICAL WAVES TO THE SOUTH. WAVEWATCH SHOWS SWELLS DECAY VERY SLOWLY...WITH 11 FT SWELL PERSISTING NE OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH THU. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER MT. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.