000
AGXX40 KNHC 170651
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
250 AM EDT FRI OCT 17 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...
CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM SE LA 
TO NW BAY OF CAMPECHE EXPECTED TO REACH A PSN FROM FL BIG BEND 
TO 25N94W THEN STATIONARY TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE FRI 
NIGHT...THEN FRONT MOVES INTO THE FL STRAITS AND YUCATAN CHANNEL 
AROUND SUNRISE SUN...AND SE OF AREA BY LATE SUN. MODELS HINTING 
AT REMNANTS PUSHING BACK NW OVER THE SE WATERS DURING MIDDLE OF 
NEXT WEEK. IN THE MEANTIME...EXPECT NLY LOW LEVEL TO BRIEFLY 
REACH 25 KT ALONG E COAST OLD MEXICO BEHIND FRONT SAT...BUT 
MOSTLY NE 15-20 KT IN WAKE OF FRONT. WINDS DIE OFF TO ENE 5-10 
KT NW WATERS MON GRADUALLY BECOMING SLY BY WED. WITH GUIDANCE 
SUGGESTING REMNANTS OF FRONT RETURNING EXPECT NE WINDS TO VEER 
TO SE OVER EXTREME SE WATERS E OF THE BROAD TROUGH.

CARIBBEAN...NE TO E 15-20 KT PERSISTING OVER NW CARIBBEAN 
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS LOW PRES WEAKENS OVER 
HONDURAS. SLY WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN TROPICAL ATLC WATERS WILL 
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS TS OMAR LIFT RAPIDLY NE. A TROPICAL WAVE 
ALONG51W WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE TONIGHT AND 
INTO THE E CARIBBEAN SUN REACHING THE THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MID 
WEEK. CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION IS FLARING ALONG THE WAVE S OF 12N 
AND MAY SEE THIS CONTINUE AS WAVE AXIS IS UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE E 
OF 70W. ANOTHER WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC SHOULD REACH ALONG 55W 
TUE AND INTO E CARIBBEAN WED.  OTHERWISE...HIGH PRES BUILDING NE 
OF THE BAHAMAS WILL ALLOW WINDS OVER THE E AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN 
TO INCREASE TO 20 KT SAT INTO SUN.

ATLC... TS OMAR RACING NE SHOULD MOVE E OF 55W LATE TODAY. SEAS 
SHOULD SUBSIDE TO LESS THAN 8 FT ALL WATERS BY LATE TONIGHT.  
HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVER AREA TODAY THEN SHIFT SE SAT AS A COLD 
FRONT MOVES OFF SE UNITED STATES SAT ACCOMPANIED BY FRESH TO 
STRONG NLY WINDS BECOMING NE TO E MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
AMZ087 TS OMAR WARNING.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.