000 AGXX40 KNHC 050626 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 227 AM EDT SUN OCT 05 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO AND SW N ATLC... PERSISTENT WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY/WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N71W TO S FLORIDA CONTINUES TO BE THE MAIN FEATURE IN THE SHORT TERM AS IT DRIFTS WWD AND BECOMES DIFFUSE FROM 31N80W ACROSS S FLORIDA BY LATE MON. ASCAT DATA AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATED NE TO E WINDS OF 15-20 KT W OF THE FRONT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE E COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE GULF N OF 25N E OF 90W. THESE WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND SUBSIDE TONIGHT. COLD FRONT ENTERS N PORTIONS OF THE SW N ATLC AND EXTENDS FROM 29N65W TO 30N81W BY LATE TUE AND FROM 26N65W TO 31N81W BY LATE WED. FRONT USHERS IN FRESH NE WINDS OF 20-25 KT WHICH VEER TO THE E AND SE AT 20 KT W OF 70W BY LATE WED. NWW3 BUILDS SEAS 8-11 FT IN THIS FLOW. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE TEXAS COAST TUE NIGHT AND EXTENDS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE TO 23N97W BY LATE WED AND WEAKENS FROM NE FLORIDA TO 25N90W 21N97W BY LATE THU. EXISTING FRONT OVER THE SW N ATLC MOVES NWD AS A WARM FRONT AHEAD OF THIS NEW FRONT. THE GFS IS TRENDING AGAIN TOWARD A STRONGER DEPICTION OF THE GULF FRONT WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF NLY WINDS OF 20 KT WED. THE CMC PRESENTS A STRONGER FRONT WITH 25-30 KT WINDS OVER THE SW GULF WED. THE ECMWF/UKMET STILL DEPICT A MUCH WEAKER FRONT WITH ONLY LIGHT WINDS NOTED WITH ITS PASSAGE. THUS WILL RESPECT THE ECMWF/UKMET AND CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARD A WEAKER SOLUTION SLIGHTLY BELOW THE GFS. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... RESIDUAL FRONTAL TROUGH OVER NW CARIBBEAN STILL PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW PRES WHICH HAS MOVED INLAND OVER BELIZE NEAR 18N88W. OTHER FEATURES ARE TROPICAL WAVES ALONG 65W AND ALONG 52W/53W MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF THE TROPICAL WAVES TRADES ARE GENERALLY LIGHT PER THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT/ASCAT PASSES. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS AN AREA OF 20 KT WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. OVERALL SUBNORMAL TRADES CONTINUE AS THE GFS STILL PICKS UP ON THE WAVE ALONG 52W/53W AND MOVES IT THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC ZONE LATER TODAY AND MON...INTO THE E AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TUE AND WED AND W CARIBBEAN THU WITH NOTHING MORE THAN A WIND SHIFT IN SUB-NORMAL TRADES EXPECTED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WAVE. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER COBB. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.