000 AGXX40 KNHC 291705 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. SURFACE TROUGH IN THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM SW FLORIDA TO A WEAK 1012 MB LOW PRES NEAR 23N89W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE N OF THE LOW PRES CENTER. THE LATEST GFS MODEL RUN IS SLOWER AND FURTHER TO THE S MOVING THE LOW THEN PREVIOUS RUNS. QUICKSCAT FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING INDICATED 20 KT WINDS N OF THE LOW CENTER. THE LOW WILL MOVE E OF THE AREA LATE TUE. WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THU THROUGH SAT. WEAK ATLC TROUGH FROM 29N78W TO 27N80W WILL REMAIN STATIONARY. OTHERWISE RIDGE ALONG 25N. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. COAST WED NIGHT AND EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO S FLORIDA THU THEN WEAKEN AND BECOME STATIONARY FRI AND SAT. S TO SW WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WED NIGHT AND THU THEN DECREASE FRI AND SAT AS THE FRONT WEAKENS. EXPECT LIGHT NLY WINDS W OF THE FRONT. LIGHTER THEN NORMAL TRADES CONTINUE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AS THE ATLC RIDGE REMAINS WEAK. THE TRADE SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. AN UNUSUAL EARLY SEASON COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE WED AND EXTENDS FROM WESTERN CUBA TO BELIZE THU THEN BECOME STATIONARY. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER DGS. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.