000
AGXX40 KNHC 290622
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...
CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS POSITIONED OVER THE NORTHERN 
YUCATAN PENINSULA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING 
FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE LOW IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE FAIRLY RAPIDLY INTO THE E GULF OF MEXICO AND 
THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH 
A TRAILING COLD FRONT DEVELOPING AND EXTENDING SW FROM THE LOW 
CENTER. LATEST GFS MODEL RUN IS BACKING OFF OF EARLIER RUNS WITH 
NORTHERLY WINDS W OF THE FRONT AND AROUND THE LOW TO NO HIGHER 
THAN 20 KT. A SEPARATE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALMOST DUE 
S ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WED THROUGH FRI WITH THE HIGHEST 
WINDS EXPECTED ON DAY FIVE. 

A LARGE SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 
37N47W AND IS BEGINNING TO HAVE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITH 
DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED S OF THE STORM CENTER. NE SWELLS TO AS 
HIGH AS 14 FEET ARE LOCATED N OF 25N E OF 62W. CONDITIONS WILL 
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER CAB. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.