000 AGXX40 KNHC 220531 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. UPPER LEVELS... WEAK RIDGE OVER THE AREA WILL WEAKEN TODAY AND TUESDAY. TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST UNITED STATES COAST AND BECOME A CUT-OFF LOW WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY COVERING THE AREA NORTH OF 20N THURSDAY. SURFACE... TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN WILL GRADUALLY EXPAND NORTHWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RIDGE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THURSDAY. THE EFFECT OF THE TROUGH EXPANDING AND THE RIDGE IN PLACE WILL INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA ESPECIALLY OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLANTIC WITH INCREASING NORTHEAST WINDS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW NEAR PUERTO RICO WILL MOVE NORTH AND POSSIBLE DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. GFS MODEL DEVELOPS THE LOW AND BRINGS THE LOW NORTH ALONG 70W. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER LL. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.