000 AGXX40 KNHC 100728 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 330 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HURRICANE IKE CENTER NOW OVER 150 NM W-NW OF HAVANA CUBA MOVING NW AT 11 KT. IKE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACK WHICH WILL AFFECT ALL GULF ZONES WITH HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND EXTREME HIGH SEAS THEN COME INLAND ALONG SE TEXAS COAST EARLY SAT. IKE PRESENTLY A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS UPPER ENVIRONMENT INDICATE A DECREASE IN WIND SHEAR AND MORE DIFFLUENT FLOW IN ADDITION TO WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. BY LATE FRI IKE COULD WELL BE A MAJOR HURRICANE CAT 3 JUST BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN TEXAS. MARINE WARNINGS ISSUED BY NHC ARE UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 / MIATCMAT4 PROVIDE DETAIL INFORMATION ON TRACK AND INTENSITY OF IKE. WEAK ATLC RIDGE BUILD W BEHIND IKE WITH SE FLOW OVER ERN HALF OF GULF SAT AND ENTIRE GULF SUN. SW N ATLC... EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE...PRESENTLY IN GULF OF MEXICO...HAVE SUBSIDED ALTHOUGH VERY STRONG...NEAR GALE FORCE...WINDS STILL REMAIN ACROSS STRAITS OF FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TODAY. WINDS DIMINISH AS ATLC HIGH PRES RIDGE ALONG 30N REBUILDS WITH STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE E TO SE FLOW ACROSS MOST SW N ATLC THROUGH SUN. CREST OF TROPICAL WAVE SHIFT WINDS S OF 24N SLIGHTLY MORE NE BUT WIND SPEEDS AND SEAS REMAIN UNCHANGED. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF JOSEPHINE...APPROACH 65W S OF 25N THU NIGHT SHIFT WINDS NE FRI. WIND REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CARIBBEAN SEA... ALTHOUGH ALL WARNINGS HAD BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE OVER NW CARIBBEAN...VERY STRONG WINDS WITH STORM FORCE GUST STILL LINGER N OF 19N W OF 83W. WIND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATE TODAY AS IKE PULLS FURTHER AWAY FROM BASIN WHILE SWELLS SUBSIDE BY LATE THU OR FRI. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 76W HAS MODERATE SE FLOW WITHIN 120 NM E OF AXIS SPREAD W AT 15 KT. WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... HURRICANE WARNING S OF 27N E OF 88W...GMZ086 GMZ084. FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.