000 AGXX40 KNHC 091807 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT TUE SEP 09 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... HURRICANE IKE CENTER 60 NM SW OF HAVANA CUBA AND MOVING W AT 11 KT. IKE WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 23.2N 84.2W THIS EVENING AS CAT 1 HURRICANE THEN MOVE NW ACROSS GULF WED THROUGH SAT. IKE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT ALL FOUR ZONES AND MAKE LANDFALL ALONG MID TEXAS COAST. WARM GULF WATERS AND FAVORABLE UPPER ENVIRONMENT MAKE IKE A GOOD CANDIDATE TO INTENSIFY TO A MAJOR HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE LANDFALL. WARNINGS ISSUED BY NHC UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT24 / MIATCMAT4 PROVIDE DETAIL INFORMATION ON TRACK AND INTENSITY OF IKE. WEAK ATLC RIDGE WILL BUILD W BEHIND IKE WITH A SE FLOW OVER ERN HALF OF GULF BY SAT AND THE ENTIRE GULF SUN. SW N ATLC... EFFECTS OF HURRICANE IKE...PRESENTLY JUST OVER WESTERN CUBA WILL STILL BE FELT S OF 27N W OF 76W WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN THE FLORIDA STRAITS EARLY EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS IKE CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM AREA. CONDITIONS WILL SUBSIDE AS IKE MOVES W ENTERING GULF OF MEXICO. LINGERING STRONG SE WIND WILL DIMINISH LATE THU WITH SEAS SUBSIDING FRI AND SAT. LIGHT TO MODERATE E-SE WINDS N OF 27N PRODUCED BY REBUILDING RIDGE ALONG 33N THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF JOSEPHINE...APPROACH 65W S OF 25N THU NIGHT SHIFTING WINDS NE FRI. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS FAR NW CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL END AS IKE NOW OVER WESTERN CUBA MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO DIMINISH BY MORNING BUT STRONG SE WINDS WILL CONTINUE FEEDING IKE WITH MOISTURE ACROSS YUCATAN PASSAGE THROUGH FRI...LINGERING SWELLS LASTING INTO SAT. ELSEWHERE...TRADE WINDS LIGHTER THAN USUAL AS PRES PATTERN REMAINS WEAK THROUGH TUE THEN INCREASING AS IKE MOVES AWAY AND ATLC RIDGE REBUILDS WED BUT DIMINISH AGAIN SAT AND SUN AS WEAK TROUGH MOVES WEST S OF 25N W OF 65W IN SW N ATLC. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE PRESENTLY ALONG 75W SPREADING W AT 15 KT. WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY ATLANTIC... TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 25N W OF 80W...AMZ080. CARIBBEAN... HURRICANE WARNING N OF 20N W OF 82W...AMZ082. GULF OF MEXICO... HURRICANE WARNING S OF 27N E OF 88W...GMZ086 GMZ084. FORECASTER DGS/RJO. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.