000 AGXX40 KNHC 270543 RRA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 140 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO... CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... PER BUOY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA...A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRES EXTENDS FROM NEAR NAPLES FLORIDA TO 25N90W TO THEN NW TO THE TEXAS COAST NEAR CORPUS CRISTI. GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS PERSIST AROUND THE RIDGE. WINDS TO 15 KT ARE NOTED IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE DUE PRIMARILY TO THE PASSAGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE S OF THE AREA. A WEAK TROUGH IS NOTED OVER THE NE GULF AS WELL...FROM PANAMA CITY TO SOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA. SE WINDS TO 15 KT ARE NOTED IN THE BIG BEND AREA IN THE FAR NE GULF. LITTLE CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED AT LEAST THROUGH THU. BEYOND THAT...THE FORECAST IS DEPENDENT ON TRACK OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV NOW OVER SW HAITI. GUSTAV IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY TO HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WNW S OF CUBA AND INTO THE S CENTRAL GULF BY LATE SAT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL START TO INCREASE OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SE GULF BY FRI AHEAD OF THE STORM. CARIBBEAN... AT 03Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 73.6W OR ABOUT 85 MILES W OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 150 MILES SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. GUSTAV IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY TO HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WNW S OF CUBA THROUGH LATE FRI. THIS WILL IMPACT CARIBBEAN WATERS MAINLY N OF 17N E OF JAMAICA AND N OF 18N W OF JAMAICA. LIGHT TO MODERATE FLOW PERSISTS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN INTO THE WEEKEND. S ATLC WATERS S OF 31N AND W OF 55W... 1017 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 30N70W BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE BAHAMAS. GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE FLOW PERSISTS AROUND THE HIGH W OF 65W...EXCEPT FOR SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 KT THROUGH THE TURKS/CAICOS AND SOUTHERN BAHAMAS N OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...DUE TO EFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV. GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA...BUT STILL MAY BRING FRESH TO STRONG E FLOW ALONG THE N COAST OF CUBA THROUGH THU. TO THE EAST OF THE HIGH...A TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE FROM 30N61W TO 24N64W...ALLOWING 20 KT EAST WINDS BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND THE HIGH. FURTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST...A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 21N58W...MOVING NW AT 10 TO 15 KT. ASCAT SHOWS A SMALL PATCH OF PERSISTENT 20 KT WINDS TO THE NORTH OF THIS LOW. WHILE THE UPPER FLOW REMAINS UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT REGARDING THIS LOW...CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION AS THE LOW MOVES TO THE NE OF THE WINDWARDS TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND E OF THE BAHAMAS BY FRI. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN EAST OF 65W THROUGH SAT...BUT BRUSH BY BERMUDA ON SUNDAY. WARNINGS... SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... HURCN WARNING N OF 17N BETWEEN 73W AND 80W...AMZ086 AND AMZ082 GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.