000
AGXX40 KNHC 221700
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...
CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN FOR THE NE GULF OF MEXICO FOR 
TONIGHT AND SAT AS T.S. FAY MOVES OFF THE NW COAST OF FLORIDA 
AND HUGS THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THEN INTO THE MOBILE 
BAY SUN AND INTO MISSISSIPPI MON THROUGH WED. SEAS WILL BE 
FETCH LIMITED MAY NOT EVEN REACH THE 10 FT IN CURRENT FORECAST 
PACKAGE...BUT WILL CONTINUE WITH SAME TRENDS. OTHERWISE LIGHT TO 
MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO 
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM 
FAY OVER THE NW PORTION OF THE ATLC ZONE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE 
OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST AS THE STORM MOVES W. WINDS DECREASE TO 
BELOW 20 KT BY SAT AFTERNOON. ANY WARNINGS WILL REFLECT THE 34 
KT WIND RADII IN THE 21Z NHC ADVISORY. ELY TRADES INCREASE TO 
15-20 KT OVER THE FAR S PORTION OF THE AREA...GENERALLY S OF 
22N...SAT THEN DECREASE MON. OTHERWISE MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS 
THE AREA THROUGH WED. A TROPICAL WAVE MOVE TO 65W BY WED 
AFTERNOON.

THE PRESENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FAY OVER FLORIDA HAS DECREASED 
THE TYPICAL PRESSURE GRADIENT OFFERED BY HIGH PRES N OF THE 
CARIBBEAN. THIS HAS ALLOWED FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE 
CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER ELY WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH A TROPICAL WAVE 
CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...MAINLY OVER THE 
NE CARIBBEAN. THE LOW THAT WAS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS FORECAST 
WILL BE DROPPED IN THIS PACKAGE AS THE LOW HAS DISSIPATED...SO
WILL GO ALONG THE THE GFS SOLUTION.

WARNINGS...SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...GMZ084-086
TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 28N E OF 87W. 

FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.