000
AGXX40 KNHC 181717
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...
CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

TROPICAL STORM FAY OVER THE FAR SE GULF OF MEXICO IN THE STRAITS 
OF FLORIDA WITH WINDS 50 KT GUSTING TO 60 KT. FAY IS FORECAST TO 
BECOME A HURRICANE OFF THE SW FLORIDA COAST EARLY TUE...THEN 
MOVE INLAND TUE EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE WED 
NIGHT. THE GFS MODEL KEEPS A SURFACE HIGH PRES CENTER IN THE 
NORTH CENTRAL GULF THROUGH WED. WEAK LOW PRES OVER TEXAS 
COMBINED WITH THE HIGH OVER THE MIDDLE GULF WILL PRODUCE SLY 
WINDS 15-20 KT OVER THE NW GULF TONIGHT THROUGH WED. 

T.S. FAY IS BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SQUALLS ACROSS THE 
ATLC ZONE W OF 75W. WILL PUT TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ATLC S 
OF 25N W OF 79W FOR TONIGHT THEN TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL 
BE W OF THE AREA TUE BUT WILL RETURN OFF THE CENTRAL FLORIDA 
COAST TUE EVENING THEN OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST WED AND THU. 
HOWEVER THE GFS STALLS FAY OFF THE NE COAST OF FLORIDA THEN 
MOVES IT W BACK OVER N FLORIDA AND INTO THE NE GULF OF MEXICO  
FRI AND SAT. WILL BASE FORECAST ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE OVER THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN TONIGHT 
AS T.S. FAY CONTINUES TO MOVE NWD. OTHERWISE LIGHTER THAN NORMAL 
TRADES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SAT.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 25N W OF 79W...AMZ080.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING E OF 83W...GMZ086. 

.FORECASTER DGS. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.