000 AGXX40 KNHC 290546 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 146 AM EDT SUN JUN 29 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... SFC RIDGE REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE NRN GULF ALONG 28N/29N WITH LIGHT E TO SE WINDS OVER VIRTUALLY THE ENTIRE GULF WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W CONTINUES MOVING W OF AREA AND AS SUCH WINDS HAVE DECREASED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST AS WELL. MINOR CHANGES IN STORE FOR THE SHORT TERM WITH RIDGE AXIS NARROWING AND SETTLING ALONG 27N BY MON NIGHT AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE FAR NW GULF MON AND OVER THE NE GULF MON NIGHT. FCST 5H/7H FIELDS SHOW THE LARGEST HEIGHT FALLS IN THE NE GULF AND AS SUCH THE IMPACTS OF THE FRONT IN THE FORM OF AN INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE N WILL BE PRIMARILY OVER THE N GULF E OF 90W...THOUGH THE WINDS REMAIN LIGHT. EXTENDED...REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH SLIDES FURTHER S OVER THE NE GULF TUE BUT LOSES UPPER SUPPORT AND DISSIPATES WED WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE AREA. SFC RIDGE REBUILDS WWD ON THU WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE E TO SE FLOW RESUMING ALL AREAS. DEEP TRPCL MOISTURE POSSIBLY FROM THE TRPCL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 71W WILL BE DRAWN NWD OVER THE GULF E OF 90W...WITHIN A WEAKNESS IN THE MID LEVEL RIDGE RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY AS WELL. SW N ATLC... SFC RIDGE ALONG 28N/29N DOMINATES REGION WITH LIGHT WINDS OVER MOST OF AREA EXCEPT ELY WINDS OF 20 KT NOTED N OF GREATER ANTILLES AND BAHAMA BANK PER SHIP REPORTS AND A HIGH RES 2308 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS. TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN ALONG 71W MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TODAY WITH ELY TRADES PICKING UP TO 20-25 KT OVER THE BAHAMAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. AS WAVE MOVES FURTHER WWD THESE WINDS COME DOWN SLIGHTLY MON AND MON NIGHT. APPROACH OF A FRONTAL SYSTEM ALONG THE E COAST RESULTS IN AN INCREASE IN SW WINDS TO 15-20 KT OVER THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA TONIGHT INTO MON NIGHT. EXTENDED...TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WELL W OF THE AREA WITH TRADES DECREASING TUE AND WED. FRONTAL TROUGH WEAKENS OVER THE SE AND ALLOWS BELT OF SW 20 KT WINDS TO MOVE N OF THE AREA BY TUE NIGHT. ON WED GFS AND THE A CERTAIN EXTENT THE CMC HAVE COME INTO AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER NWP MODELS AND BACKED OFF ON DEVELOPING A SFC LOW ALONG THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH OFF THE FL E COAST AND INSTEAD BUILD THE ATLC RIDGE WWD WED AND THU WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS IN ITS WAKE OVER MOST AREAS. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... MOST RECENT HI RES QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED ELY TRADES OF 20-25 KT ACROSS MOST AREAS BETWEEN 66W AND 80W. TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 71W WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TODAY AND ENHANCE THE EXISTING TRADES WITH 30+ KT WINDS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TONIGHT AND MON. CURRENT SEAS OF 8-11 FT BUILD TO 9-13 FT BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MON NIGHT. EXTENDED...AREAL COVERAGE OF FRESH TO STRONG ELY TRADES (20-25 KT) DECREASES TUE THROUGH THU AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES WWD IN THE CARIBBEAN. WINDS DROP OFF TO 10-15 KT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .FORECASTER COBB. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.