000
AGXX40 KNHC 140507
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
107 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
A 1019 MB SFC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED JUST S OF THE 
FLORIDA/ALABAMA BORDER PROVIDING LIGHT VARIABLE WINDS AND LOW 
SEAS OVER THE N CENTRAL AND NE WATERS. E TO SE WINDS ARE MAINLY 
IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE EAST AND 
CENTRAL ZONES AND SIMILAR MAGNITUDE SE TO S WINDS ARE BLOWING 
OVER THE NW GULF. STRONGER 15-20 KT E TO SE WINDS ARE AFFECTING 
THE SW WATERS DUE TO THE TIGHTENED PRES PATTERN BETWEEN THE 
AFOREMENTIONED HIGH AND BROAD LOW PRES OVER MEXICO AND TEXAS. 
SEAS ARE HIGHEST (4-5 FT) OVER THE W WATERS DUE TO THE LONGER 
FETCH. SCATTERED TSTMS ARE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ASSOCIATED 
WITH AN UPPER LOW. A FAIR AMOUNT OF TROPICAL MOISTURE IS 
EXPECTED TO HOLD OVER THIS REGION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

SFC HIGH PRES IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT S ALLOWING WINDS 
TO BE LIGHT AND FAIRLY VARIABLE ACROSS THE N HALF OF THE REGION 
SUN THRU EARLY TUE THEN SHIFT S TO SW LATE TUE AND WED. E TO SE 
WINDS SHOULD RELAX TO 10-15 KT ACROSS THE S WATERS LATER TODAY 
AND BASICALLY STAY THAT WAY THROUGH WED. THIS WILL ALLOW SEAS TO 
SUBSIDE TO 3 FT OR LESS AREA WIDE LATER THIS WEEKEND. 

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
QSCAT PASS EARLIER THIS EVENING REVEALED 20 KT E WINDS ACROSS 
THE S CARIBBEAN AND MAINLY 10-15 KT E TRADES ELSEWHERE. A COUPLE 
OF TROPICAL WAVES ARE LOCATED IN THE REGION BUT NEITHER OF THESE 
ARE SHOWING ANY ORGANIZATION DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY/ 
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE ON THE 
INCREASE AS THE TROPICAL WAVES TRACK W AND AS SFC HIGH PRES 
BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE SUBTROPICAL ATLC. IN RESPONSE...A 
LARGE AREA OF 20-25 KT E WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL AND 
EASTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SUN AND MON THEN SHIFT SLIGHTLY W TUE AND 
WED WITH POSSIBLE 30 KT WINDS NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS 
ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 8-12 FT OVER THE S CENTRAL WATERS AND 5 
TO 8 FT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.

SW N ATLC... 
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS PUSHING SLOWLY S ALONG 29N/30N E OF 72W 
WITH A BAND OF LOW CLOUDS MARKING THE BOUNDARY. N TO NE WINDS 
INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO 10-15 KT BEHIND THE FRONT AND NE SWELL IS 
BUILDING SEAS TO 5 TO 7 FT. E WINDS REMAIN FRESH S OF 22N AS 
NOTED BY SEVERAL SHIP REPORTS DURING THE EVENING HOURS...LIKELY 
INFLUENCED SOME BY THE TROPICAL WAVES IN THE CARIBBEAN. 
ELSEWHERE...NE TO E WINDS ARE LIGHT AND SEAS ARE RUNNING IN THE 
2-4 FT RANGE. SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIMITED.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VEER SE TO S 10-15 KT BY SUN N OF 25N AND 
REMAIN MODERATE TO FRESH E TO SE OVER THE FAR S WATERS AS A HIGH 
PRES RIDGE STRENGTHENS JUST E OF THE AREA. THIS REGIME SHOULD 
CONTINUE INTO MON AND THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT SW AND INCREASE TO 
15-20 KT TUE AND WED OVER THE N WATERS AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS E IN 
RESPONSE TO THE NEXT LOW PRES SYSTEM/COLD FRONT...WHICH IS 
EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NW CORNER WED AFTERNOON.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE. 

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

.FORECASTER CANGIALOSI. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.