000 AGXX40 KNHC 030615 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 PM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. ATLANTIC... RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 29N65W TO S/CNTRL FLORIDA WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST STRETCHING W ACROSS THE SOUTH CAROLINA/GEORGIA BORDER. THE FRONT WILL POSSIBLY CLIP THE THE FAR NW PART OF THE ZONE THIS MORNING...BUT THEN QUICKLY LIFT N OF THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT LATER TODAY. MODERATE E/SE WINDS WILL DOMINATE MOST OF THE AREA UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SFC RIDGE WITH AXIS AROUND 30N. ON THU...THE GFS MODEL DEVELOPS A WEAK SFC TROUGH IN THE EASTERLIES E OF THE BAHAMAS. THE PRES GRADIENT MAY TIGHTEN JUST TO THE W OF THE TROUGH...PRODUCING 15-20 KT WINDS THU AND FRI ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF THE ZONE. THE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY LIFT NW THROUGH SAT WITH WINDS VEERING TO THE SE OVER THE SRN HALF OF THE ZONE...BUT EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY LIGHT TO MODERATE. CARIBBEAN... THE REMNANT LOW OF T.D. ARTHUR IS CENTERED WELL INLAND OVER SE MEXICO NEAR CUIDAD DEL CARMEN. NEARBY NOAA BUOY 42056 IS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 KT AND GUSTY WIND OF 25 KT. QSCAT AND MODEL DATA BOTH SUGGEST THAT E WINDS 20-25 KT CONTINUE MAINLY S OF 19N W OF 85W BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING LESS THAN 20 KT ON WED. 20 KT WINDS ARE BLOWING OVER THE S/CNTRL CARIBBEAN...AND THE NWW3 ENSEMBLE INDICATES THAT THESE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 KT ROUGHLY BETWEEN 68W AND 76W WED TO FRI...LIKELY DUE TO THE TIGHT PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE AZORES HIGH EXTENDING A RIDGE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE SEMI-PERMANENT COLOMBIAN/PANAMANIAN LOW. GULF OF MEXICO... AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...THE REMNANT LOW OF ARTHUR IS CENTERED WELL INLAND OVER SE MEXICO NEAR CUIDAD DEL CARMEN. REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD TOWARDS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. NOAA BUOY 42055 LOCATED IN THE SW GULF NEAR 22N94W IS REPORTING 23 KT WITH WIND GUST OF 27 KT AND WAVE HEIGHT OF 6 FT. A QSCAT PASS FROM AROUND 0000 UTC INDICATED NE/E WINDS 20-25 KT OVER THE ERN BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE GFS CONTINUES THESE WINDS THROUGH THIS MORNING...DIMINISHING SLOWLY TO 15-20 KT TONIGHT. SLY RETURN FLOW IS EXPECTED TO SET IN TUE NIGHT OFF THE TEXAS COAST WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT TUE NIGHT/WED AND SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. THIS WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST TO AT LEAST FRI WITH WINDS LIKELY INCREASING TO 20-25 KT AT NIGHT DUE TO THE NOCTURNAL JET. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 7-9 FT OFF THE TEXAS COAST. BY SAT...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BACK TO A MORE E/SE DIRECTION WITH A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN SPEEDS. OVER THE E/CNTRL GULF...E/SE WINDS AROUND 15 KT WILL PREVAIL WITH OCCASIONAL PERIODS AS HIGH AS 20 KT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.