000
AGXX40 KNHC 020559
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUN 02 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

ATLANTIC...
SFC RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA AND WILL MOVE 
LITTLE THROUGH TUE. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE 
GEORGIA/N FLORIDA COAST LATE TODAY. S TO SW WINDS OF 15 KT WILL 
BLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE FAR NW PART TODAY. THE RIDGE 
SHOULD CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE REGION MOST OF THE FORECAST 
PERIOD GIVING THE AREA A MODERATE E TO SE FLOW. ON THU...THE GFS 
MODEL DEVELOPS A SFC TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SW N 
ATLC AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ON FRI. THE 
PRES GRADIENT BEGINS TO TIGHTEN OVER THE FAR SW PART ON THU WITH 
WINDS INCREASING TO 15-20 KT FROM THE BAHAMAS WWD...CONTINUING 
INTO FRI.

CARIBBEAN...
T.D. ARTHUR HAS DISSIPATED...BUT THE REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF 
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE 
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS A RESULT...WINDS/SEAS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY 
DIMINISHING. CURRENTLY...NOAA BUOY 42056 IS REPORTING SUSTAINED 
WINDS OF 18 KT WITH PEAK GUST WIND OF 21 KT AND SEAS ON THE 
ORDER OF 5 FT. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT ARE EXPECTED TODAY OVER THE 
GULF OF HONDURAS AND THE E PORTION OF THE SW GULF OF MEXICO WITH 
SEAS TO 8 FT. PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE ATLC RIDGE AND A BROAD 
AREA OF LOW PRES OVER CENTRAL AMERICA WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE 
IN WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY WED. A SWATH OF 
AT LEAST 20 KT WILL AFFECT FROM THE ABC ISLANDS TO THE YUCATAN 
CHANNEL ON THU AND FRI.

GULF OF MEXICO...
AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...T.D. ARTHUR HAS DISSIPATED...BUT THE 
REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY 
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND NORTHERN 
CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN ASCAT PASS 
FROM AROUND 0000 UTC SHOWED UNCONTAMINATED 20 KT BARS OVER THE 
EASTERN PORTION OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THE GFS BRINGS DOWN TO 
15-20 KT OVER THE SE BAY OF CAMPECHE TODAY. OTHERWISE A RIDGE 
NEAR THE N GULF COAST WILL KEEP CONDITIONS TRANQUIL ACROSS THE 
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. THIS RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN ALONG THE N 
GULF COAST TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI BUT AN INCREASE TO THE TEXAS 
RETURN FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUE NIGHT...REACHING POSSIBLY 
25 KT WED NIGHT. THE PRES GRADIENT ALSO TIGHTENS OVER THE 
ERN/MIDDLE GULF ON THU WITH E/SE WINDS INCREASING TO 15-20 KT 
AND CONTINUING INTO FRI. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT OVER THE 
SW GULF IN THE VICINITY OF THE CONTINUING BROAD LOW PRES OVER SE 
MEXICO.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE. 

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

.FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.