000 AGXX40 KNHC 300635 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 135 AM EDT FRI MAY 30 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SE CONUS WILL KEEP WINDS FAIRLY LIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE TO FRESH EAST WINDS WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS...TO INCLUDE THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH...AND REMNANTS OF ALMA TO THE SOUTH OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. HOWEVER...COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT A SECONDARY LOW MAY DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS LATER TODAY...WHICH COULD POTENTIALLY IMPACT MARINE CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS OVER THE WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...STRONG WINDS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL PERSIST ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE REMNANTS OF ALMA THAT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BEND TO THE NORTHWEST OVER NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND LIKELY DISSIPATE. HOWEVER...STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM ALMA NE TO NEAR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY...MODEL GUIDANCE IS INSISTENT UPON DEVELOPING A BROAD SURFACE LOW OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS LATER TODAY...WHICH SHOULD TRACK SLOWLY WWD THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ALREADY WINDS AND SEAS ARE RESPONDING. BUOY 42057 IS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 23 KT WITH PEAK GUST WIND OF 27 KT. FRESH TRADES WILL INCREASE JUST OFFSHORE THE COLOMBIAN COAST DUE TO A BUILDING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. FURTHER EAST...TRADES OVER THE WATERS EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...BARELY REACHING 20 KT. THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WILL DEPEND VERY MUCH ON WHETHER THIS SCENARIO OCCURS. SW N ATLC...A SFC RIDGE ANCHORED ON A HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC WILL DOMINATE THE AREA DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE FLOW IN ALL PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA WHERE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL PERSIST BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND THE PASSAGE OF A COUPLE OF TROPICAL WAVES ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. A SFC TROUGH OVER THE NW BAHAMAS IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. ANOTHER SFC TROUGH IS JUST N OF HISPANIOLA AND IS ALO PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR THE STRONGEST TSTMS. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .FORECASTER GR. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.