000
AGXX40 KNHC 260548
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
155 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE CARIBBEAN WEST OF 80W.  
ELSEWHERE A BROAD TROUGH IS OVER MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN AND A 
STRONG TROUGH OVER THE ATLANTIC. THE TROUGH WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN 
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A BROAD RIDGE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA FRIDAY.

SURFACE...
SURFACE FEATURES WILL MORE OR LESS MIMIC THE UPPER LEVELS. 
FRONTAL TROUGH RUNS THROUGH 31N58W TO HISPANIOLA. THE TROUGH 
WILL DRIFT A LITTLE WEST AND WEAKEN WITH WEAK RIDGE OVER THE 
AREA FRIDAY. GFS MODEL DEVELOPS A LOW IN THE FAR EASTERN PACIFIC 
AND BY FRIDAY A BROAD LOW IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA WITH 
INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OF THE 
LOW. FORECAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN 
IS LESS THAN THE GFS MODEL WHICH HAS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE MODEL 
HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THIS SCENARIO SO AT SOME POINT 
MAY HAVE TO ADOPT THE GFS FORECAST.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE. 

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

.FORECASTER LL. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.