000 AGXX40 KNHC 110529 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EDT FRI APR 11 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... SE TO S WINDS HAVE DECREASED THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AS THE STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. PULLS N. BUOY...SHIP DATA AND A 00Z QSCAT PASS INDICATE 20-25 KT W OF 85W. THESE SE TO S WINDS WILL CONTINUE DECREASING THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY FRI. A STRONG COLD FRONT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NW WATERS FRI NIGHT WITH NLY WINDS INCREASING TO 20-25 KT BEHIND IT. A GALE WARNING IS POSTED ON SUN FOR THE SW GULF W OF 95W...WHERE THE N FLOW HAS ENHANCED FUNNELING. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MINIMAL GALE CONDITIONS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THAT REGION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE ENTIRE GULF BY LATE SUN. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN SUBSIDING MON AND TUE ACROSS THE WRN WATERS AS HIGH PRES BUILDS N OF THE REGION BUT SHOULD STILL REMAIN BRISK OVER THE ERN AND PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE WATERS. SW N ATLC... THE SERIES OF COMPLEX LOWS ARE NOW E OF THE ZONE WITH ONLY A DIFFUSE BOUNDARY REMAINING FROM 26N65W TO 31N74W. WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT AT THE MOMENT...10-15 KT AT MOST AREA WIDE. HOWEVER...NE SWELLS ARE KEEPING SEAS 6-8 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH SAT AS THE SWELL TRAIN PROPAGATES INTO THE REGION. THE LONGEST PERIODS...NEAR 15 SEC...WILL BE NEAR THE NE FACED BAHAMAS ISLANDS AND THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST EARLY SAT. S TO SW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 KT OVER THE N WATERS AHEAD OF THE FRONT EARLY SAT AND UP TO 20-25 KT BY MON. GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE FRONT MOVING OFF THE FL/GA COAST SAT EVENING AND TO A POSITION FROM 31N75W TO S FLORIDA BY SUN AFTERNOON. CAA WILL CAUSE NW WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT W OF THE FRONT. BY TUE...GFS AND ECMWF ARE DEVELOPING LOW PRES SYSTEM OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WHICH WOULD INCREASE WINDS AGAIN W OF 75W. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC... THE TRADE WIND FLOW IS FAIRLY RELAXED DUE TO A STRETCHED LOW PRES TROUGH N OF THE REGION. THE LATEST QSCAT AND ASCAT PASSES ONLY SHOW SMALL AREAS OF 20 KT IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND NEAR THE COLOMBIAN COAST. SHIP AND BUOY OBS ARE SUGGESTING MAX SEAS TO 8 FT WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH SAT. BEYOND THAT...A STRENGTHENING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL INCREASE TRADES TO 20 KT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS BY SUN AND IT SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH TUE. THE OTHER CHANGE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO NEAR THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE SUN. N WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO POSSIBLY 25 KT BEHIND THE FRONT BUILDING SEAS TO 9 FT W OF 84W. WARNINGS... ATLC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ082...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUN. FORECASTER CANGIALOSI