000
AGXX40 KNHC 161808
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
110 PM EST SAT FEB 16 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN COVERS MOST OF 
THE AREA. THE EXCEPTION IS A STRONG SHORTWAVE OVER WESTERN TEXAS 
THAT EXTENDS OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. THE SHORTWAVE 
WILL MOVE EAST AND BROADEN AND BY TUESDAY THERE WILL BE A BROAD 
TROUGH NORTH OF 25N CENTERED ALONG 80W. THE TROUGH WILL PASS 
EAST OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY WITH WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW 
OVER THE AREA NORTH OF 25N AND A BROAD RIDGE SOUTH OF 25N 
CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH PART OF THE SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLANTIC AND 
THE NORTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.

SURFACE...
THE SURFACE FEATURES WILL CLOSELY REFLECT THE UPPER FEATURES 
WITH RIDGE ALONG 30N AND LOW OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS INITIALLY. COLD 
FRONT WILL MOVE OFF TEXAS COAST EARLY SUNDAY AND BY MIDDAY 
MONDAY BE JUST OFF THE GEORGIA COAST ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA TO THE 
BAY OF CAMPECHE.  BY MIDDAY TUESDAY THE FRONT WILL BE ALONG 
31N70W THE WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. BY MIDDAY 
WEDNESDAY THE FRONT WILL BE ALONG 31N62W TO THE EASTERN BAHAMAS 
WITH RIDGE BUILDING ALONG 30N BEHIND THE FRONT. BY THURSDAY 
RIDGE WILL BE ALONG 30N ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH LOW 
PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

TRADES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE FRONT WILL 
NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON THE WINDS IN THE CARIBBEAN OR TROPICAL 
ATLANTIC.
 
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER LL