000
AGXX40 KNHC 151722
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK RIDGE ACROSS GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE E. A 1006 MB SURFACE 
LOW PRES OVER SW NEW MEXICO WILL SHIFT SE THROUGH TEXAS AND NE 
MEXICO TONIGHT THEN STALL. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS TIGHTENING 
OVER THE WESTERN GULF WITH SE WINDS TO INCREASING TO 15-20 KT. A 
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST SAT NIGHT AND EXTEND 
FROM SE LOUISIANA TO 24N97W SUN AND FROM TAMPA BAY TO E BAY OF 
CAMPECHE MON THEN E OF THE AREA TUE. STRONG NLY WIND W OF THE 
FRONT SUN AND MON...THEN BECOME MORE ELY AS HIGH PRES BUILDS 
OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND NORTHER GULF THROUGH TUE. THE HIGH MOVES
INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA WED WITH SLY WINDS 15-20 KT ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF.

PERSISTENT ATLC HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN STRONG ELY 
TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN INTO SUN. THESE ELY WINDS WILL 
DECREASE SLIGHTLY STARTING MON IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKENING TREND 
IN THE RIDGE TO THE N. MEANWHILE LARGE ELY SWELL OVER THE 
TROPICAL N ATLC WILL DECAY THROUGH SAT.

ELY TRADES UP TO 20 KT CONTINUE IN THE ATLC S OF AROUND 22N.
OTHERWISE...LIGHT TO MODERATE ELY FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH LATE SAT 
ON SRN EDGE OF BERMUDA HIGH. SELY WINDS OVER THE AREA E OF N 
FLORIDA WILL INCREASE LATE SUN AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES 
THE SE U.S. COAST. WINDS OVER THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA 
COULD PEAK NEAR GALE FORCE BY MON AHEAD OF THE FRONT THEN BELOW
GALE FORCE TUE WITH THE FRONT FROM 31N70W TO W CUBA. THE FRONT 
WILL LOSE STEAM WED AND WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR BERMUDA THROUGH 
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO NW CUBA BY WED.
 
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS