000
AGXX40 KNHC 121729
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1230 PM EST TUE FEB 12 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

CURRENTLY...A SERIES OF FRONTS ARE DISSIPATING OVER THE ATLC 
ALONG 25N WITH THE SOUTHERNMOST BOUNDARY LIFTING N OVER S FL 
AND ADJACENT WATERS ACCOMPANIED BY TSTMS. HIGH PRES IS BRIDGING 
THE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN ATLC AND GULF WATERS AND MAINTAINING 
BRISK E TRADES S OF THE FRONT.  

GULF OF MEXICO...SE RETURN FLOW AT 15-20 KT EXCEPT 20-25 KT 
STRAITS OF FL...LIKELY TO DIMINISH BY SUNSET TODAY AS FRONTAL  
REMNANTS LIFT N OF AREA. SURFACE WINDS VEERING TO S AS NEW FRONT 
EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NW WATERS LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH N 
WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT ALONG TX COAST AND 25-30 KT A LITTLE 
FURTHER OFFSHORE INTO THE SW GULF ZONE. ONLY EXPECT SEAS TO 
BUILD TO ABOUT 10 FT W WATERS AS N WINDS WILL BEGIN CLOCKING TO 
NE EARLY WED AND TO E WED NIGHT. LOW LEVEL FLOW SE ALL WATERS 
THU NIGHT. NEXT FRONT OFF TX COAST AROUND SUNSET FRI 
ACCOMPANIED BY WIND SHIFT TO A N 25-35 KT MINIMAL GALE...WITH 
THE FRONT REACHING FROM MS DELTA TO E BAY OF CAMPECHE MIDDAY SUN 
AND FROM W FL TO YUCATAN PENINSULA BY AROUND SUNRISE MON.
   
ATLC...AREA OF N SWELLS IN THE 8-14 FT RANGE OVER ATLC WATERS E 
OF 72W EXPECTED TO PASS SE OF 55W LATE TONIGHT. BRISK E TO SE 
WINDS IN 20-25 KT ALL WATERS WILL VEER QUICKLY TO S TONIGHT AND 
INCREASE TO MINIMAL GALE N OF 29N AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING OFF 
GA COAST EARLY WED AFTERNOON. FRONT RACES E TO PSN FROM BERMUDA 
TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUNSET THU THEN STALLS FRI AND DRIFTS NW 
LOSING IDENTITY FRI NIGHT. S OF 27N THE GRADIENT IS SUPPORTING 
ESE WINDS 20-25 KT ATTM...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BECOMING SE TO S 
WED. WINDS QUICKLY TO SHIFT TO N-NE BEHIND FRONT THEN FURTHER 
DIMINISH TO ALMOST VARIABLE FRI NIGHT AND SAT THEN INCREASE 
AGAIN FROM SE AND S ON SUN WITH YET ANOTHER FRONT ON MON... 
MODELS HINTING AT MINIMAL GALE IN SOUTHERLY FLOW MON MORNING N 
OF 29N E OF FRONT.
  
TROPICAL ATLC...E WINDS IN 15-20 KT RANGE SEAS 6-9 FT WILL 
INCREASE TO 20-25 KT SEAS 8-13 FT TUE THROUGH SAT DIMINISHING TO 
15-20 KT SUN.

.CARIBBEAN...FLOW ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST AT 25-30 KT WITH MODELS 
NOT SHOWING ANY CONSISTENT CHANGE THROUGH EXTENDED PERIOD. 
ELSEWHERE BRISK E WINDS WILL THROUGH PERIOD EXCEPT DIMINISHING 
NW CARIBBEAN WATERS WED WITH WEAK FRONT IN YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE 
WED... STALLING WED NIGHT AND LITTLE TRACE OF FRONT REMAINING 
THU NIGHT AS E TRADES RESUME.
  
WARNINGS...
ATLC...
GALE WARNING AMZ080...N OF 29N E OF FRONT TONIGHT AND WED E OF 
FRONT. 

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE. GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED GMZ080 AND GMZ082 BEHIND FRONT 
FRI NIGHT INTO SAT. 

FORECASTER NELSON