000
AGXX40 KNHC 021853
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EST SAT FEB 2 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WITH WEAKENING...AND DISSIPATING...STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N74W 
TO 27N80W TO 24N88W OUT OF THE PICTURE...ALL THREE BASINS IN 
FORECAST COME UNDER THE CAPPING INFLUENCE OF BROAD UPPER LEVEL 
RIDGE...VERY DRY SUBSIDING AIR MASS AND FLATTENING CREST ZONAL 
WIND. WITH THAT STABLE ENVIRONMENT LITTLE IF ANY WEATHER THREATS 
FOR NEXT TWO DAYS.  STEADY BRISK E TRADES S OF 26N ACROSS SW N 
ATLC AND CARIBBEAN BACKING SE OVER GULF OF MEXICO.  INCREASING
RETURN FLOW W OF 90W REACHES 20 KT SUN NIGHT AND MON PRECEDING
COLD FRONT.  MODEL ENSEMBLE BRING FRONT INTO NWRN GULF BY MID 
TUE WITH GFS BEING MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH SW WIND SPEEDS AHEAD OF 
FRONT REACHING 20-25 KT AND SIMILAR NORTHERLIES BEHIND FRONT.
FRONT SWEEPS RAPIDLY ACROSS AREA WED EXTENDING FROM TIP OF SW 
FLORIDA TO YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE THU.  WINDS OVER GULF DIMINISH 
BY LATE WED.

SW WINDS IN NW CORNER OF SW N ATLC START INCREASE TUE NIGHT AND 
SPREAD EWD N OF 29N AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO 
STALL FROM 31N66W TO 26N80W BY LATE THU.

STRONG ELY WINDS IN TRPCL ATLC N OF 15N WILL SPREAD INTO ERN AND 
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN THROUGH TUE THEN WEAKEN WED AND THU AS 
ATLC HIGH PRES IS FORCED E BY COLD FRONT OFF N FLORIDA COAST. 

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES