000
AGXX40 KNHC 290614
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 AM EST TUE JAN 29 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

RIDGE OF HIGH PRESS OVER THE E GULF OF MEXICO IS MOVING EWD 
WITH SURFACE WINDS VEERING TO THE SE OVER THE GULF W OF 90W AND 
E TO NE OVER THE GULF E OF 90W. SEVERAL COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE 
INTO THE GULF BUT WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF A STRONG WRN ATLC 
RIDGE. RETURN FLOW INCREASES TO 20 KT OVER THE W GULF AND 
SPREADS OVER MOST OF THE GULF BY LATER TODAY. FIRST COLD FRONT 
MOVES OFF TEXAS COAST THIS EVE AND EXTENDS FROM THE FL BIG BEND 
TO NE MEXICO BY LATE WED. FRONT USHERS IN A QUICK SHOT OF NW-N 
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT TUE NIGHT WITH WINDS QUICKLY VEERING TO THE 
NE AND DIMINISHING ON WED. FRONT LIFTS NWD AS A WARM FRONT WED 
NIGHT AND THU WITH ANOTHER BUT BRIEF ROUND OF INCREASING RETURN 
FLOW OVER MOST AREAS. NEXT FRONT MOVES OFF TEXAS THU AND MOVES 
SE AND EXTENDS FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY 
LATE FRI. NW-N WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED BEHIND 
THIS FRONT AS WELL BUT WINDS DIMINISH TO LESS THAN 20 KT MOST 
AREAS BY LATE FRI AS THE FRONT WEAKENS. WINDS ONCE AGAIN VEER TO 
THE SE ON SAT.

COLD FRONT OVER THE EXTREME SE PORTION OF THE ATLC ZONE JUST NW 
OF PUERTO RICO. THE COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR THE AREA LATER THIS 
MORNING WITH HIGH PRESS SETTLING IN AND ALLOWING NLY WINDS TO 
DIMINISH TO 15 KT. NWW3 KEEPS SEAS UP TO 8-12 FT E OF 70W-75W 
THROUGH TUE WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN THE NE FETCH ACTING ON 
NLY SWELL. S TO SW WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT OVER THE NW 
PORTION OF THE AREA TUE AND SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT AND 
WED. COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE SE COAST WED BUT MAKES LITTLE 
PROGRESS IN THE FACE OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND THEREFORE 
STALLS ALONG 30/31N WED NIGHT AND THU. FRONT LIFTS N OF THE AREA 
THU NIGHT AND FRI WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF INCREASING SW WINDS OVER 
THE NE PORTION. NEXT FRONT MOVES OFF THE SE COAST AND ALSO 
WEAKENS OVER THE EXTREME NW PORTION OF THE AREA SAT. IN THE 
MEANTIME A SURGE IN THE ELY WINDS S OF THE STRONG ATLC RIDGE 
MOVES INTO THE AREAS E OF 70W THU AND FRI AND WEAKENS SOMEWHAT 
ON SAT. NWW3 AND UKMET WAVE MODELS BUILD SEAS TO 11-12 FT WITHIN 
THIS ELY FLOW WHICH APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK GIVEN THE LONG ELY 
FETCH OF THIS FLOW.  

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN FROM THE 
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO THE BORDER OF  NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.
THE FRONT WILL DRIFT EWD AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT 
HAS SUPPRESSED ELY TRADES OVER MOST OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC AND 
CARIBBEAN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SW CARIBBEAN WHERE 20-25 KT 
WINDS ARE OCCURRING. 

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS