000
AGXX40 KNHC 260617
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 AM EST SAT JAN 26 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

SUBTROPIC JET CONTINUES TONIGHT ALONG 30N EMBEDDED IN STRONG 
ZONAL FLOW. MID LEVEL RIDGE PARKED OVER SRN GULF EXTENDS E TO SE 
BAHAMAS. ON THE SURFACE TONIGHT WEAK LOW PRES OVER NW GULF WITH 
SUPPORT ONLY FROM JET WILL TRACK EWD. COLD FRONT DRAPED OVER 
REGION FROM 31N55W TO SE BAHAMAS THEN STATIONARY TO GULF LOW. 20 
TO 25 KT WINDS OVER MUCH OF REGION. 

LATER DAY 1 MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES LITTLE MORE WNWLY WITH 
SHORTWAVE MOVING SE OVER MO VALLEY. ON THE SURFACE LATER DAY 1 
COLD FRONT FIZZLES OUT OVER ATLC WATERS WITH WINDS DIMINISHING. 
NEW COLD FRONT MOVES TO CENTRAL GULF WITH WINDS TO 20 KT. CARIB 
WINDS REMAIN MODERATE. ATLC TRADES LIGHT TO MODERATE. 

FOR DAY 2 SHORTWAVE DIVES SE OFF MID ATLC AND SE COAST WITH 
STRONG NWLY FLOW ALOFT E OF 90W. MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS RAPIDLY 
OVER PLAINS. ON THE SURFACE DAY 2 COLD FRONT MOVES TO WRN 
BAHAMAS AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS N OF AREA ALONG 70W. 20 TO 25 KT 
WINDS N OF 28N WITH FRONT. 1027 MB POLAR HIGH MOVES E TO MS 
VALLEY. GULF WINDS TO 20 KT. CARIB WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. ATLC 
TRADES TO 20 KT S OF 18N.

OUTLOOK PERIOD...

FOR DAY 3 STRONG SHORTWAVE CLOSES OFF NEAR 37N66W BUT CUT OFF 
FROM WLY FLOW. MID LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS E TO 80 TO 85W WHILE MID 
LEVEL FLOW BECOMES SWLY W OF 90W. ON THE SURFACE DAY 3 COLD 
FRONT MOVES TO 31N60W 20N70W WITH WINDS TO 25 KT. 1023 MB POLAR 
HIGH MOVES TO N FL. RETURN SLY FLOW SETS UP OVER WRN GULF AS 
PRES FALLS OVER PLAINS. CARIB WINDS LIGHT EXCEPT MODERATE NELY 
NW SECTION. ATLC TRADES INCREASE TO 20 KT S OF 20N. DON'T SEE 
GALE CONDITIONS OVER ATLC WITH LOW CENTER FURTHER N OF AREA THAN 
IN LAST NIGHTS' RUN. WINDS 25 TO 30 KT SHOULD HANDLE IT N OF 
29N. 

FOR DAY 4 STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WLY PUSHING CLOSED 
OFF LOW E AND NE. NEXT STRONG SHORTWAVE DROPS INTO NRN PLAINS. 
ON THE SURFACE DAY 4 COLD FRONT WEAKENING OVER ATLC NEAR 31N55W 
TO 20N62W. POLAR AIRMASS WEAKENS OVER BAHAMAS. NEXT COLD FRONT 
MOVES TO TX COAST WITH WINDS TO 20 KT. CARIB WINDS LIGHT TO 
MODERATE. LITTLE CHANGE OVER ATLC.

FOR DAY 5 STRONG SWLY FLOW RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF S OF 40N W OF 
60W. STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVES ENE TO SE CANADA. ON THE SURFACE DAY 
5 OLD POLAR HIGH ELONGATES IT'S SELF ALONG 27N OVER ATLC 
EXTENDING BACK INTO E CENTRAL GULF. CARIB WINDS INCREASE TO 20 
KT AND ATLC S OF 22N TO 20 KT. COLD FRONT OVER GULF MOVES MOSTLY 
EWD EXTENDING FROM 31N80W SW TO 27N90W 26N97W. N OF FRONT NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT.

WARNINGS...
ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER RRG