000 AGXX40 KNHC 241810 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 115 PM EST THU JAN 24 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. .GULF OF MEXICO AND NW CARIBBEAN...A QUASI STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS W FROM 25N82W TO A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE LOW NEAR 27N93W WITH A TROUGH/WEAK COLD FRONT SW TO 24N97W. EXPECT LOW PRES TO MOVE ENE AS COLD NORTHERLY COLD SURGE INCREASES THE LOW LEVEL N OF FRONT...AND NW OF LOW...TO 20-25 KT AND DRIVES THE BOUNDARY THROUGH YUCATAN CHANNEL TONIGHT...WITH REMNANTS WASHING OUT FRI NIGHT AND SAT OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE W OF HAITI. HOWEVER A PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE QUASI STATIONARY OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO ALLOWING A SECOND FRONTAL WAVE TO SET UP OVER THE W CENTRAL GULF FRI. THE PATTERN REPEATS WITH THE SECOND LOW MOVING E TO REACHING W FL SUN WITH HIGH PRES BUILDING S OVER N WATERS SUN AND OVER SOUTHERN GULF WATERS SUN NIGHT. THE HIGH THEN WEAKENS WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMING SLY OVER THE NW GULF MON WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING OFF TX COAST TUE MORNING ACCOMPANIED BY NE 20-25 KT. NW CARIBBEAN WILL EXPERIENCE NE 15-20 KT BEHIND THE FRONTS UNTIL THEY WASH OUT. ATLC...A COLD FRONT FROM 31N73W TO SE FL WILL GET A GOOD NW PUSH LATE TODAY DRIVING THE FRONT THROUGH BERMUDA AND THE SE BAHAMAS AROUND SUNRISE FRI...AND THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE SUNSET FRI...AND OVER THE THROUGH THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SUNSET SAT...AND LOSING IDENTITY THEREAFTER. LARGE N SWELLS TO 15 FT OVER THE NE WATERS AND SWELLS TO 8 FT ALONG NE FL COAST. BY THEN A RETURN FLOW TROUGH ALONG NE FL WILL BEGIN TO MOVE E AS A COLD FRONT ENTERING THE NORTHERN BAHAMA CHANNEL SUNSET SAT. THIS SECOND FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N70W TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUNRISE SUN AND THEN LIE OVER THE SE WATERS INTO MONA PASSAGE SUNRISE MON. FRONT LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH TO MOVE THROUGH VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE MON BEFORE LOSING IDENTITY OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARDS TUE. REMAINDER CARIBBEAN...WINDS 25-30 KT ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST WITH HINTS OF MINIMAL GALE ALONG E EDGE OF THIS MORNINGS HIGH RES QSCAT PASS. WILL BUILD SEAS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS WIND MAX TO 15 FT AS NE SWELLS MOVE INTO SW COUNTER CURRENT. SEEMS LIKE LITTLE CHANGE INTO SUN THEN GRADIENT RELAXES A TAD...ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE OFTEN FLUCTUATES IN THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE NE-E TRADES 20-25 KT DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT SUN. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER NELSON